Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume X activity, with recent daily counts often reaching 40–60 posts, anchors trader expectations for a mid-200s weekly total in the August 21–28 window. The tight clustering around the 200–239 brackets reflects routine engagement through replies, polls, and commentary rather than any single catalyst, while variability in news-cycle intensity and weekend pacing creates the narrow spreads between leading outcomes. Historical short-period data and absence of major disruptions or platform announcements keep the range competitive, with traders weighing steady baseline output against potential spikes from unfolding events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 19%
220-239 17%
180-199 16%
240-259 14%
$581,584 Vol.
$581,584 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
4%
160-179
10%
180-199
16%
200-219
19%
220-239
17%
240-259
14%
260-279
9%
280-299
5%
300-319
3%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 19%
220-239 17%
180-199 16%
240-259 14%
$581,584 Vol.
$581,584 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
60-79
$18,277 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$30,692 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$30,850 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$25,568 Vol.
1%
140-159
$29,300 Vol.
4%
160-179
$23,472 Vol.
10%
180-199
$18,351 Vol.
16%
200-219
$11,646 Vol.
19%
220-239
$5,147 Vol.
17%
240-259
$6,054 Vol.
14%
260-279
$8,385 Vol.
9%
280-299
$17,174 Vol.
5%
300-319
$16,962 Vol.
3%
320-339
$18,436 Vol.
1%
340-359
$22,243 Vol.
1%
360-379
$14,858 Vol.
1%
380-399
$40,288 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$34,185 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$27,892 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$32,182 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$30,812 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$32,393 Vol.
<1%
500+
$54,643 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume X activity, with recent daily counts often reaching 40–60 posts, anchors trader expectations for a mid-200s weekly total in the August 21–28 window. The tight clustering around the 200–239 brackets reflects routine engagement through replies, polls, and commentary rather than any single catalyst, while variability in news-cycle intensity and weekend pacing creates the narrow spreads between leading outcomes. Historical short-period data and absence of major disruptions or platform announcements keep the range competitive, with traders weighing steady baseline output against potential spikes from unfolding events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$581,584End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume X activity, with recent daily counts often reaching 40–60 posts, anchors trader expectations for a mid-200s weekly total in the August 21–28 window. The tight clustering around the 200–239 brackets reflects routine engagement through replies, polls, and commentary rather than any single catalyst, while variability in news-cycle intensity and weekend pacing creates the narrow spreads between leading outcomes. Historical short-period data and absence of major disruptions or platform announcements keep the range competitive, with traders weighing steady baseline output against potential spikes from unfolding events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$581,584End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume X activity, with recent daily counts often reaching 40–60 posts, anchors trader expectations for a mid-200s weekly total in the August 21–28 window. The tight clustering around the 200–239 brackets reflects routine engagement through replies, polls, and commentary rather than any single catalyst, while variability in news-cycle intensity and weekend pacing creates the narrow spreads between leading outcomes. Historical short-period data and absence of major disruptions or platform announcements keep the range competitive, with traders weighing steady baseline output against potential spikes from unfolding events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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