**Elon Musk’s posting volume on X typically averages 25–40 posts per day in recent periods, producing the 40–64 and 65–89 brackets that dominate trader pricing at 45.5% and 32.5% implied probability for the August 27–29 window.** Recent settled markets show wide day-to-day swings—40–64 for the period ending August 24, 90–114 for August 22, and even 240–259 on August 21—reflecting how breaking news, company updates, or political commentary can spike activity. Weekday averages hover near 34 posts while weekend days drop to roughly 19–20, and the upcoming stretch spans Thursday through Saturday, tilting expectations toward the lower-to-mid range. Traders appear to be pricing in baseline engagement without major near-term catalysts, consistent with the 119-post count recorded across the prior seven days and the absence of confirmed high-volume events. Volatility remains the wildcard: any Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, or political development could push totals into the upper brackets, but current market-implied odds favor continuation of the moderate cadence observed in the latest settled periods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?
40-64 46%
65-89 33%
<40 14%
90-114 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
<40
14%
40-64
46%
65-89
33%
90-114
10%
115-139
2%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 46%
65-89 33%
<40 14%
90-114 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
<40
$413 Vol.
14%
40-64
$53 Vol.
46%
65-89
$79 Vol.
33%
90-114
$80 Vol.
10%
115-139
$244 Vol.
2%
140-164
$365 Vol.
1%
165-189
$15 Vol.
1%
190-214
$45 Vol.
1%
215-239
$716 Vol.
<1%
240+
$721 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk’s posting volume on X typically averages 25–40 posts per day in recent periods, producing the 40–64 and 65–89 brackets that dominate trader pricing at 45.5% and 32.5% implied probability for the August 27–29 window.**
Recent settled markets show wide day-to-day swings—40–64 for the period ending August 24, 90–114 for August 22, and even 240–259 on August 21—reflecting how breaking news, company updates, or political commentary can spike activity. Weekday averages hover near 34 posts while weekend days drop to roughly 19–20, and the upcoming stretch spans Thursday through Saturday, tilting expectations toward the lower-to-mid range.
Traders appear to be pricing in baseline engagement without major near-term catalysts, consistent with the 119-post count recorded across the prior seven days and the absence of confirmed high-volume events. Volatility remains the wildcard: any Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, or political development could push totals into the upper brackets, but current market-implied odds favor continuation of the moderate cadence observed in the latest settled periods.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,731End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk’s posting volume on X typically averages 25–40 posts per day in recent periods, producing the 40–64 and 65–89 brackets that dominate trader pricing at 45.5% and 32.5% implied probability for the August 27–29 window.**
Recent settled markets show wide day-to-day swings—40–64 for the period ending August 24, 90–114 for August 22, and even 240–259 on August 21—reflecting how breaking news, company updates, or political commentary can spike activity. Weekday averages hover near 34 posts while weekend days drop to roughly 19–20, and the upcoming stretch spans Thursday through Saturday, tilting expectations toward the lower-to-mid range.
Traders appear to be pricing in baseline engagement without major near-term catalysts, consistent with the 119-post count recorded across the prior seven days and the absence of confirmed high-volume events. Volatility remains the wildcard: any Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, or political development could push totals into the upper brackets, but current market-implied odds favor continuation of the moderate cadence observed in the latest settled periods.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,731End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elon Musk’s posting volume on X typically averages 25–40 posts per day in recent periods, producing the 40–64 and 65–89 brackets that dominate trader pricing at 45.5% and 32.5% implied probability for the August 27–29 window.** Recent settled markets show wide day-to-day swings—40–64 for the period ending August 24, 90–114 for August 22, and even 240–259 on August 21—reflecting how breaking news, company updates, or political commentary can spike activity. Weekday averages hover near 34 posts while weekend days drop to roughly 19–20, and the upcoming stretch spans Thursday through Saturday, tilting expectations toward the lower-to-mid range. Traders appear to be pricing in baseline engagement without major near-term catalysts, consistent with the 119-post count recorded across the prior seven days and the absence of confirmed high-volume events. Volatility remains the wildcard: any Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, or political development could push totals into the upper brackets, but current market-implied odds favor continuation of the moderate cadence observed in the latest settled periods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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