Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate and mountainous basin topography typically drive late-August highs of 35–40°C, with urban heat-island effects amplifying peaks. Current forecasts from AccuWeather and BBC models indicate a 37–39°C range for August 27, centered near 37–38°C, as a ridge of high pressure builds with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover before any afternoon convection develops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37°C and 38°C reflects uncertainty in exact maximum timing and the moderating influence of scattered thunderstorms, while lower-probability tails account for possible stronger heat advection or clearer skies. Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
38°C 36%
37°C 31%
39°C 20%
36°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
9%
36°C
14%
37°C
31%
38°C
36%
39°C
14%
40°C
12%
41°C
7%
42°C or higher
10%
38°C 36%
37°C 31%
39°C 20%
36°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
32°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C
$3 Vol.
9%
36°C
$2 Vol.
14%
37°C
$5 Vol.
31%
38°C
$0 Vol.
36%
39°C
$25 Vol.
14%
40°C
$7 Vol.
12%
41°C
$0 Vol.
7%
42°C or higher
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate and mountainous basin topography typically drive late-August highs of 35–40°C, with urban heat-island effects amplifying peaks. Current forecasts from AccuWeather and BBC models indicate a 37–39°C range for August 27, centered near 37–38°C, as a ridge of high pressure builds with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover before any afternoon convection develops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37°C and 38°C reflects uncertainty in exact maximum timing and the moderating influence of scattered thunderstorms, while lower-probability tails account for possible stronger heat advection or clearer skies. Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$37End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate and mountainous basin topography typically drive late-August highs of 35–40°C, with urban heat-island effects amplifying peaks. Current forecasts from AccuWeather and BBC models indicate a 37–39°C range for August 27, centered near 37–38°C, as a ridge of high pressure builds with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover before any afternoon convection develops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37°C and 38°C reflects uncertainty in exact maximum timing and the moderating influence of scattered thunderstorms, while lower-probability tails account for possible stronger heat advection or clearer skies. Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate and mountainous basin topography typically drive late-August highs of 35–40°C, with urban heat-island effects amplifying peaks. Current forecasts from AccuWeather and BBC models indicate a 37–39°C range for August 27, centered near 37–38°C, as a ridge of high pressure builds with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover before any afternoon convection develops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37°C and 38°C reflects uncertainty in exact maximum timing and the moderating influence of scattered thunderstorms, while lower-probability tails account for possible stronger heat advection or clearer skies. Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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