Forecast models show persistent subtropical high pressure over the region maintaining hot, humid conditions into August 25, with daytime highs near 36–38°C, but significant uncertainty surrounds overnight minimums due to variable convective rainfall and cloud cover. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by monsoon moisture and possible trough interactions, could enhance or limit radiative cooling overnight, creating divergence between runs that favor lows near 26–28°C versus stronger cooling below 22°C or retained heat above 30°C. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity further modulate local temperature swings, with traders assigning near-equal weight to the extremes reflecting model spread and limited observational updates this close to the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
31°C or higher 85%
21°C or below 84%
24°C 42%
23°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
84%
22°C
20%
23°C
40%
24°C
42%
25°C
27%
26°C
-
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
28%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
85%
31°C or higher 85%
21°C or below 84%
24°C 42%
23°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$70 Vol.
84%
22°C
$151 Vol.
20%
23°C
$135 Vol.
40%
24°C
$69 Vol.
42%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
-
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$55 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show persistent subtropical high pressure over the region maintaining hot, humid conditions into August 25, with daytime highs near 36–38°C, but significant uncertainty surrounds overnight minimums due to variable convective rainfall and cloud cover. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by monsoon moisture and possible trough interactions, could enhance or limit radiative cooling overnight, creating divergence between runs that favor lows near 26–28°C versus stronger cooling below 22°C or retained heat above 30°C. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity further modulate local temperature swings, with traders assigning near-equal weight to the extremes reflecting model spread and limited observational updates this close to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$485End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show persistent subtropical high pressure over the region maintaining hot, humid conditions into August 25, with daytime highs near 36–38°C, but significant uncertainty surrounds overnight minimums due to variable convective rainfall and cloud cover. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by monsoon moisture and possible trough interactions, could enhance or limit radiative cooling overnight, creating divergence between runs that favor lows near 26–28°C versus stronger cooling below 22°C or retained heat above 30°C. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity further modulate local temperature swings, with traders assigning near-equal weight to the extremes reflecting model spread and limited observational updates this close to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$485End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models show persistent subtropical high pressure over the region maintaining hot, humid conditions into August 25, with daytime highs near 36–38°C, but significant uncertainty surrounds overnight minimums due to variable convective rainfall and cloud cover. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by monsoon moisture and possible trough interactions, could enhance or limit radiative cooling overnight, creating divergence between runs that favor lows near 26–28°C versus stronger cooling below 22°C or retained heat above 30°C. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity further modulate local temperature swings, with traders assigning near-equal weight to the extremes reflecting model spread and limited observational updates this close to the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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