Current atmospheric patterns on August 23, 2026, feature monsoon moisture enhancing shower and thunderstorm chances across the Southwest and Great Basin, per NOAA Weather Prediction Center outlooks, alongside scattered convection possible in the Plains and eastern U.S. from lingering instability. Short-term model guidance highlights localized heavy rainfall risks tied to daytime heating and available atmospheric moisture, with precipitation probabilities varying sharply by region. Traders should monitor updated National Weather Service forecasts and radar observations throughout the day, as convective initiation and steering winds can rapidly shift where measurable rain occurs relative to specific market thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on August 23?
Where will it rain on August 23?
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
New York, NY
93%
Los Angeles, CA
8%
Chicago, IL
24%
Houston, TX
37%
Dallas, TX
24%
Phoenix, AZ
25%
Philadelphia, PA
70%
Denver, CO
53%
Washington, DC
26%
Atlanta, GA
25%
Miami, FL
40%
Seattle, WA
25%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
24%
San Francisco, CA
6%
$1,055 Vol.
New York, NY
$130 Vol.
93%
Los Angeles, CA
$97 Vol.
8%
Chicago, IL
$20 Vol.
24%
Houston, TX
$40 Vol.
37%
Dallas, TX
$40 Vol.
24%
Phoenix, AZ
$60 Vol.
25%
Philadelphia, PA
$118 Vol.
70%
Denver, CO
$60 Vol.
53%
Washington, DC
$60 Vol.
26%
Atlanta, GA
$20 Vol.
25%
Miami, FL
$103 Vol.
40%
Seattle, WA
$85 Vol.
25%
Boston, MA
$142 Vol.
50%
New Orleans, LA
$60 Vol.
24%
San Francisco, CA
$20 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Los Angeles, CA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KLAX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KLAX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMDW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMDW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houston, TX records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KIAH: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KIAH.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dallas, TX records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDFW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDFW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Philadelphia, PA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Denver, CO records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDEN: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDEN.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington, DC records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDCA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDCA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atlanta, GA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KATL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KATL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miami, FL records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMIA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMIA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seattle, WA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSEA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSEA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Boston, MA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KBOS: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KBOS.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Orleans, LA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMSY: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMSY.This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSFO: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSFO.Current atmospheric patterns on August 23, 2026, feature monsoon moisture enhancing shower and thunderstorm chances across the Southwest and Great Basin, per NOAA Weather Prediction Center outlooks, alongside scattered convection possible in the Plains and eastern U.S. from lingering instability. Short-term model guidance highlights localized heavy rainfall risks tied to daytime heating and available atmospheric moisture, with precipitation probabilities varying sharply by region. Traders should monitor updated National Weather Service forecasts and radar observations throughout the day, as convective initiation and steering winds can rapidly shift where measurable rain occurs relative to specific market thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Volume
$1,055End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 7:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Los Angeles, CA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KLAX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KLAX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMDW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMDW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houston, TX records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KIAH: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KIAH.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dallas, TX records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDFW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDFW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Philadelphia, PA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Denver, CO records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDEN: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDEN.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington, DC records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDCA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDCA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atlanta, GA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KATL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KATL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miami, FL records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMIA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMIA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seattle, WA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSEA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSEA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Boston, MA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KBOS: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KBOS.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Orleans, LA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMSY: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMSY.This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSFO: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSFO.Current atmospheric patterns on August 23, 2026, feature monsoon moisture enhancing shower and thunderstorm chances across the Southwest and Great Basin, per NOAA Weather Prediction Center outlooks, alongside scattered convection possible in the Plains and eastern U.S. from lingering instability. Short-term model guidance highlights localized heavy rainfall risks tied to daytime heating and available atmospheric moisture, with precipitation probabilities varying sharply by region. Traders should monitor updated National Weather Service forecasts and radar observations throughout the day, as convective initiation and steering winds can rapidly shift where measurable rain occurs relative to specific market thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Volume
$1,055End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 7:09 AM ETCurrent atmospheric patterns on August 23, 2026, feature monsoon moisture enhancing shower and thunderstorm chances across the Southwest and Great Basin, per NOAA Weather Prediction Center outlooks, alongside scattered convection possible in the Plains and eastern U.S. from lingering instability. Short-term model guidance highlights localized heavy rainfall risks tied to daytime heating and available atmospheric moisture, with precipitation probabilities varying sharply by region. Traders should monitor updated National Weather Service forecasts and radar observations throughout the day, as convective initiation and steering winds can rapidly shift where measurable rain occurs relative to specific market thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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