Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 17°C in Moscow on August 25, 2026, driven by a strengthening westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air masses, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar insolation and surface heating. This follows warmer conditions around 23–24°C on August 23 and reflects typical late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 21°C but current synoptic patterns favor suppressed maxima. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 16–18°C, with precipitation probability supporting the market’s tight clustering on those outcomes while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from evolving model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
17°C 39%
18°C 32%
16°C 16%
19°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
16%
17°C
39%
18°C
32%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
17°C 39%
18°C 32%
16°C 16%
19°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
$147 Vol.
2%
14°C
$24 Vol.
2%
15°C
$55 Vol.
5%
16°C
$56 Vol.
16%
17°C
$128 Vol.
39%
18°C
$409 Vol.
32%
19°C
$179 Vol.
7%
20°C
$91 Vol.
3%
21°C
$89 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 17°C in Moscow on August 25, 2026, driven by a strengthening westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air masses, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar insolation and surface heating. This follows warmer conditions around 23–24°C on August 23 and reflects typical late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 21°C but current synoptic patterns favor suppressed maxima. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 16–18°C, with precipitation probability supporting the market’s tight clustering on those outcomes while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from evolving model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,187End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 17°C in Moscow on August 25, 2026, driven by a strengthening westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air masses, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar insolation and surface heating. This follows warmer conditions around 23–24°C on August 23 and reflects typical late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 21°C but current synoptic patterns favor suppressed maxima. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 16–18°C, with precipitation probability supporting the market’s tight clustering on those outcomes while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from evolving model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,187End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 17°C in Moscow on August 25, 2026, driven by a strengthening westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air masses, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar insolation and surface heating. This follows warmer conditions around 23–24°C on August 23 and reflects typical late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 21°C but current synoptic patterns favor suppressed maxima. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 16–18°C, with precipitation probability supporting the market’s tight clustering on those outcomes while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from evolving model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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