Recent forecasts from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to a maximum temperature near 31–32°C in Karachi on August 25, driven by persistent monsoon-season southwest winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 29–32°C amid scattered drizzle and haze, with no strong heat-building factors such as clear skies or suppressed moisture. Historical averages for late August hover around 31°C, and current model consensus favors continuation of these conditions rather than intensification. Traders have priced the 32°C and 33°C outcomes highest, reflecting the narrow expected range and limited upside potential from the current atmospheric setup ahead of final measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 25?
32°C 47%
33°C 31%
31°C 10%
34°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
47%
33°C
31%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 31%
31°C 10%
34°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
47%
33°C
31%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to a maximum temperature near 31–32°C in Karachi on August 25, driven by persistent monsoon-season southwest winds, high humidity, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 29–32°C amid scattered drizzle and haze, with no strong heat-building factors such as clear skies or suppressed moisture. Historical averages for late August hover around 31°C, and current model consensus favors continuation of these conditions rather than intensification. Traders have priced the 32°C and 33°C outcomes highest, reflecting the narrow expected range and limited upside potential from the current atmospheric setup ahead of final measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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