Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models highlight persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and enhanced southwesterly monsoon flow tied to nearby tropical depression TD22, which is suppressing daytime heating across northern Taiwan. These conditions favor daily maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C on August 25, consistent with the closely bunched market probabilities around those levels. Historical late-August averages near 32–33 °C provide an upper benchmark, but the current rain-cooled boundary layer and limited insolation make exceeding 32 °C less likely while keeping 28 °C or lower a plausible downside if heavier convection develops. Updated numerical guidance and the next CWA briefing will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
30°C 28%
29°C 25%
31°C 18%
28°C 15.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
25%
30°C
28%
31°C
18%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 28%
29°C 25%
31°C 18%
28°C 15.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$141 Vol.
1%
26°C
$80 Vol.
1%
27°C
$16 Vol.
5%
28°C
$510 Vol.
15%
29°C
$94 Vol.
25%
30°C
$135 Vol.
28%
31°C
$92 Vol.
18%
32°C
$129 Vol.
7%
33°C
$58 Vol.
3%
34°C
$14 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$94 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models highlight persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and enhanced southwesterly monsoon flow tied to nearby tropical depression TD22, which is suppressing daytime heating across northern Taiwan. These conditions favor daily maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C on August 25, consistent with the closely bunched market probabilities around those levels. Historical late-August averages near 32–33 °C provide an upper benchmark, but the current rain-cooled boundary layer and limited insolation make exceeding 32 °C less likely while keeping 28 °C or lower a plausible downside if heavier convection develops. Updated numerical guidance and the next CWA briefing will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,363End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models highlight persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and enhanced southwesterly monsoon flow tied to nearby tropical depression TD22, which is suppressing daytime heating across northern Taiwan. These conditions favor daily maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C on August 25, consistent with the closely bunched market probabilities around those levels. Historical late-August averages near 32–33 °C provide an upper benchmark, but the current rain-cooled boundary layer and limited insolation make exceeding 32 °C less likely while keeping 28 °C or lower a plausible downside if heavier convection develops. Updated numerical guidance and the next CWA briefing will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,363End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models highlight persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and enhanced southwesterly monsoon flow tied to nearby tropical depression TD22, which is suppressing daytime heating across northern Taiwan. These conditions favor daily maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C on August 25, consistent with the closely bunched market probabilities around those levels. Historical late-August averages near 32–33 °C provide an upper benchmark, but the current rain-cooled boundary layer and limited insolation make exceeding 32 °C less likely while keeping 28 °C or lower a plausible downside if heavier convection develops. Updated numerical guidance and the next CWA briefing will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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