Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, reflects official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and regional models showing a daytime peak of 32–33°C under cloudy to overcast skies, scattered showers, and southerly flow typical of the East Asian monsoon in late August. Observational data from stations including Bao'an Airport indicate hourly readings climbing into the low 32°C range amid 75–85% humidity and light winds, aligning with climatological averages near 31–32°C but elevated by regional warmth. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity cap further intensification, producing tight market-implied odds. A realistic shift away from 33°C would require either stronger afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike to 34°C or heavier rain suppressing the peak below 32°C, outcomes that updated model runs or final station observations could still confirm before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$52,803 Vol.
$52,803 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$52,803 Vol.
$52,803 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$430 Vol.
No
26°C
$828 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,467 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,440 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,784 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,934 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,881 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,938 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,523 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$5,370 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$7,207 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, reflects official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and regional models showing a daytime peak of 32–33°C under cloudy to overcast skies, scattered showers, and southerly flow typical of the East Asian monsoon in late August. Observational data from stations including Bao'an Airport indicate hourly readings climbing into the low 32°C range amid 75–85% humidity and light winds, aligning with climatological averages near 31–32°C but elevated by regional warmth. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity cap further intensification, producing tight market-implied odds. A realistic shift away from 33°C would require either stronger afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike to 34°C or heavier rain suppressing the peak below 32°C, outcomes that updated model runs or final station observations could still confirm before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$52,803End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, reflects official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and regional models showing a daytime peak of 32–33°C under cloudy to overcast skies, scattered showers, and southerly flow typical of the East Asian monsoon in late August. Observational data from stations including Bao'an Airport indicate hourly readings climbing into the low 32°C range amid 75–85% humidity and light winds, aligning with climatological averages near 31–32°C but elevated by regional warmth. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity cap further intensification, producing tight market-implied odds. A realistic shift away from 33°C would require either stronger afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike to 34°C or heavier rain suppressing the peak below 32°C, outcomes that updated model runs or final station observations could still confirm before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,803End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, reflects official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and regional models showing a daytime peak of 32–33°C under cloudy to overcast skies, scattered showers, and southerly flow typical of the East Asian monsoon in late August. Observational data from stations including Bao'an Airport indicate hourly readings climbing into the low 32°C range amid 75–85% humidity and light winds, aligning with climatological averages near 31–32°C but elevated by regional warmth. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity cap further intensification, producing tight market-implied odds. A realistic shift away from 33°C would require either stronger afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike to 34°C or heavier rain suppressing the peak below 32°C, outcomes that updated model runs or final station observations could still confirm before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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