Official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models such as GFS drive the near-certain market consensus around a 24°C high in Paris on August 23, reflecting a stable northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that suppress daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs trend near 23–24°C as solar angles decline and Atlantic air masses moderate temperatures. Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to this outcome given consistent model runs and observational data showing limited instability. Deviations could occur if clearer skies enhance insolation or if steering patterns shift to allow warmer southerly flow, though such changes remain unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 23?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 23?
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$62,227 Vol.
$62,227 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$62,227 Vol.
$62,227 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$1,460 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,162 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,065 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$13,002 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$12,108 Vol.
100%
25°C
$11,536 Vol.
1%
26°C
$8,203 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,890 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,519 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models such as GFS drive the near-certain market consensus around a 24°C high in Paris on August 23, reflecting a stable northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that suppress daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs trend near 23–24°C as solar angles decline and Atlantic air masses moderate temperatures. Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to this outcome given consistent model runs and observational data showing limited instability. Deviations could occur if clearer skies enhance insolation or if steering patterns shift to allow warmer southerly flow, though such changes remain unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$62,227End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models such as GFS drive the near-certain market consensus around a 24°C high in Paris on August 23, reflecting a stable northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that suppress daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs trend near 23–24°C as solar angles decline and Atlantic air masses moderate temperatures. Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to this outcome given consistent model runs and observational data showing limited instability. Deviations could occur if clearer skies enhance insolation or if steering patterns shift to allow warmer southerly flow, though such changes remain unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62,227End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models such as GFS drive the near-certain market consensus around a 24°C high in Paris on August 23, reflecting a stable northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that suppress daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs trend near 23–24°C as solar angles decline and Atlantic air masses moderate temperatures. Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to this outcome given consistent model runs and observational data showing limited instability. Deviations could occur if clearer skies enhance insolation or if steering patterns shift to allow warmer southerly flow, though such changes remain unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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