Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily maximum of 32°C for August 23, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow that limit afternoon convection. This aligns with climatological norms for late summer, when mean highs hover near 31–32°C, and current model runs show minimal spread around that value. Trader consensus reflects the high certainty in verified observational data, with resolution tied to the official maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters. Only an unexpected rapid intensification of onshore winds or localized thunderstorm activity could push readings outside the narrow 32°C band, though such shifts remain improbable given the established steering pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
32°C 99.9%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$122,261 Vol.
$122,261 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.9%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$122,261 Vol.
$122,261 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$1,150 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,144 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,467 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,313 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10,830 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,736 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$20,633 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$24,624 Vol.
100%
33°C
$20,491 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$11,198 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,676 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily maximum of 32°C for August 23, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow that limit afternoon convection. This aligns with climatological norms for late summer, when mean highs hover near 31–32°C, and current model runs show minimal spread around that value. Trader consensus reflects the high certainty in verified observational data, with resolution tied to the official maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters. Only an unexpected rapid intensification of onshore winds or localized thunderstorm activity could push readings outside the narrow 32°C band, though such shifts remain improbable given the established steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$122,261End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily maximum of 32°C for August 23, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow that limit afternoon convection. This aligns with climatological norms for late summer, when mean highs hover near 31–32°C, and current model runs show minimal spread around that value. Trader consensus reflects the high certainty in verified observational data, with resolution tied to the official maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters. Only an unexpected rapid intensification of onshore winds or localized thunderstorm activity could push readings outside the narrow 32°C band, though such shifts remain improbable given the established steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$122,261End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily maximum of 32°C for August 23, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow that limit afternoon convection. This aligns with climatological norms for late summer, when mean highs hover near 31–32°C, and current model runs show minimal spread around that value. Trader consensus reflects the high certainty in verified observational data, with resolution tied to the official maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters. Only an unexpected rapid intensification of onshore winds or localized thunderstorm activity could push readings outside the narrow 32°C band, though such shifts remain improbable given the established steering pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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