Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 24 highlight a monsoon-influenced pattern with persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection expected to cap daytime heating, driving market-implied odds toward 29–30°C. Official guidance projects highs of 27–32°C amid southwest flow and a nearby low-pressure belt, where widespread rain and reduced solar insolation limit peak temperatures below the seasonal climatological average near 32°C. Model spreads arise from uncertainty in shower timing and intensity—stronger or earlier precipitation favors 29°C or lower by enhancing evaporative cooling, while any afternoon breaks could allow brief warming toward 31°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing variable outcomes under similar moisture regimes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
31°C 16%
32°C or higher 11%
$73,953 Vol.
$73,953 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
11%
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
31°C 16%
32°C or higher 11%
$73,953 Vol.
$73,953 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 24 highlight a monsoon-influenced pattern with persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection expected to cap daytime heating, driving market-implied odds toward 29–30°C. Official guidance projects highs of 27–32°C amid southwest flow and a nearby low-pressure belt, where widespread rain and reduced solar insolation limit peak temperatures below the seasonal climatological average near 32°C. Model spreads arise from uncertainty in shower timing and intensity—stronger or earlier precipitation favors 29°C or lower by enhancing evaporative cooling, while any afternoon breaks could allow brief warming toward 31°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing variable outcomes under similar moisture regimes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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