Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Taipei on August 24 will likely settle between 25–27 °C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier subtropical nights. Subtle differences among 24–27 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can either trap heat near the surface or briefly enhance evaporative cooling, plus minor variations in wind speed and urban heat-island effects. With no major typhoon or frontal passage expected, ensemble spreads remain narrow, producing the market’s tightly bunched probabilities around the 24–27 °C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
27°C 34%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
29%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
34%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
27°C 34%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
29%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
34%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Taipei on August 24 will likely settle between 25–27 °C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier subtropical nights. Subtle differences among 24–27 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can either trap heat near the surface or briefly enhance evaporative cooling, plus minor variations in wind speed and urban heat-island effects. With no major typhoon or frontal passage expected, ensemble spreads remain narrow, producing the market’s tightly bunched probabilities around the 24–27 °C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions