Persistent cloud cover and showers tied to a broad low-pressure system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over Taipei, anchoring trader-implied odds around 25–26 °C for the August 25 minimum. Subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and frequent convection suppress temperature drops below the climatological 25–27 °C August baseline, while forecast model consensus from the Central Weather Administration shows limited scope for clearing skies that could enable stronger cooling or for extreme moisture retention pushing readings above 27 °C. Short-range model runs remain the key variable ahead of resolution, with any shift in steering flow or precipitation timing able to adjust the final overnight low within the narrow 24–27 °C band where most market volume sits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
26°C 50%
21°C or below 34%
25°C 32%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
34%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
15%
25°C
34%
26°C
39%
27°C
27%
28°C
11%
29°C
23%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 50%
21°C or below 34%
25°C 32%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$80 Vol.
34%
22°C
$69 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
15%
25°C
$40 Vol.
34%
26°C
$20 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$64 Vol.
23%
30°C
$160 Vol.
15%
31°C or higher
$200 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and showers tied to a broad low-pressure system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over Taipei, anchoring trader-implied odds around 25–26 °C for the August 25 minimum. Subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and frequent convection suppress temperature drops below the climatological 25–27 °C August baseline, while forecast model consensus from the Central Weather Administration shows limited scope for clearing skies that could enable stronger cooling or for extreme moisture retention pushing readings above 27 °C. Short-range model runs remain the key variable ahead of resolution, with any shift in steering flow or precipitation timing able to adjust the final overnight low within the narrow 24–27 °C band where most market volume sits.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$633End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and showers tied to a broad low-pressure system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over Taipei, anchoring trader-implied odds around 25–26 °C for the August 25 minimum. Subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and frequent convection suppress temperature drops below the climatological 25–27 °C August baseline, while forecast model consensus from the Central Weather Administration shows limited scope for clearing skies that could enable stronger cooling or for extreme moisture retention pushing readings above 27 °C. Short-range model runs remain the key variable ahead of resolution, with any shift in steering flow or precipitation timing able to adjust the final overnight low within the narrow 24–27 °C band where most market volume sits.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$633End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and showers tied to a broad low-pressure system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over Taipei, anchoring trader-implied odds around 25–26 °C for the August 25 minimum. Subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and frequent convection suppress temperature drops below the climatological 25–27 °C August baseline, while forecast model consensus from the Central Weather Administration shows limited scope for clearing skies that could enable stronger cooling or for extreme moisture retention pushing readings above 27 °C. Short-range model runs remain the key variable ahead of resolution, with any shift in steering flow or precipitation timing able to adjust the final overnight low within the narrow 24–27 °C band where most market volume sits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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