Current forecasts from major models position Amsterdam's August 25 high near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 24°C (32.5%) or 25°C (28.5%). This stems from post-heat-wave stabilization after early-August warmth, with North Sea influence moderating extremes and typical late-summer variability keeping daily maxima within 2–3°C of the 22°C climatological average. Ensemble spread and minor timing differences in frontal passages introduce the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes, while probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-22°C remain low absent major model shifts before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
24°C 33%
25°C 28%
23°C 21%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
21%
24°C
33%
25°C
28%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 33%
25°C 28%
23°C 21%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$111 Vol.
1%
21°C
$74 Vol.
3%
22°C
$248 Vol.
8%
23°C
$247 Vol.
21%
24°C
$64 Vol.
33%
25°C
$217 Vol.
28%
26°C
$207 Vol.
9%
27°C
$97 Vol.
3%
28°C
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models position Amsterdam's August 25 high near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 24°C (32.5%) or 25°C (28.5%). This stems from post-heat-wave stabilization after early-August warmth, with North Sea influence moderating extremes and typical late-summer variability keeping daily maxima within 2–3°C of the 22°C climatological average. Ensemble spread and minor timing differences in frontal passages introduce the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes, while probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-22°C remain low absent major model shifts before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,296End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models position Amsterdam's August 25 high near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 24°C (32.5%) or 25°C (28.5%). This stems from post-heat-wave stabilization after early-August warmth, with North Sea influence moderating extremes and typical late-summer variability keeping daily maxima within 2–3°C of the 22°C climatological average. Ensemble spread and minor timing differences in frontal passages introduce the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes, while probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-22°C remain low absent major model shifts before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,296End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models position Amsterdam's August 25 high near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 24°C (32.5%) or 25°C (28.5%). This stems from post-heat-wave stabilization after early-August warmth, with North Sea influence moderating extremes and typical late-summer variability keeping daily maxima within 2–3°C of the 22°C climatological average. Ensemble spread and minor timing differences in frontal passages introduce the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes, while probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-22°C remain low absent major model shifts before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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