Current meteorological forecasts for Paris on August 24 point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C as the most likely outcome, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting sunny intervals, light easterly winds, and strong daytime heating under clear skies. Ensemble model guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC shows afternoon peaks clustering in this narrow range, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 23–25°C but can exceed that by several degrees during stable anticyclonic setups. Trader consensus reflected in the implied probabilities assigns the highest weight to 27°C (43%) and 28°C (28.5%), acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C and the absence of any major heat-wave signals or cold-front intrusions that would shift the distribution significantly. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the final refinement before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 24?
27°C 44%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
NEW
$28,829 Vol.
NEW
$28,829 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
15%
27°C
44%
28°C
29%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
NEW
$28,829 Vol.
NEW
$28,829 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,249 Vol.
2%
25°C
$3,367 Vol.
4%
26°C
$4,352 Vol.
15%
27°C
$4,763 Vol.
44%
28°C
$4,331 Vol.
29%
29°C
$3,104 Vol.
8%
30°C
$2,832 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,479 Vol.
1%
32°C
$948 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Paris on August 24 point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C as the most likely outcome, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting sunny intervals, light easterly winds, and strong daytime heating under clear skies. Ensemble model guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC shows afternoon peaks clustering in this narrow range, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 23–25°C but can exceed that by several degrees during stable anticyclonic setups. Trader consensus reflected in the implied probabilities assigns the highest weight to 27°C (43%) and 28°C (28.5%), acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C and the absence of any major heat-wave signals or cold-front intrusions that would shift the distribution significantly. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volume
$28,829End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Paris on August 24 point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C as the most likely outcome, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting sunny intervals, light easterly winds, and strong daytime heating under clear skies. Ensemble model guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC shows afternoon peaks clustering in this narrow range, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 23–25°C but can exceed that by several degrees during stable anticyclonic setups. Trader consensus reflected in the implied probabilities assigns the highest weight to 27°C (43%) and 28°C (28.5%), acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C and the absence of any major heat-wave signals or cold-front intrusions that would shift the distribution significantly. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,829End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Paris on August 24 point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C as the most likely outcome, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting sunny intervals, light easterly winds, and strong daytime heating under clear skies. Ensemble model guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC shows afternoon peaks clustering in this narrow range, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 23–25°C but can exceed that by several degrees during stable anticyclonic setups. Trader consensus reflected in the implied probabilities assigns the highest weight to 27°C (43%) and 28°C (28.5%), acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C and the absence of any major heat-wave signals or cold-front intrusions that would shift the distribution significantly. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the final refinement before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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