Recent forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show atmospheric conditions over northern Italy stabilizing around a daytime maximum of 28°C in Milan on August 23, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting that peak. Trader consensus reflects this consensus output, as the implied probability for 28°C exceeds 99%, consistent with typical late-summer subsidence patterns and historical averages near 28–30°C. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity develops earlier than projected or if localized urban heat island effects alter station readings by 1–2°C, though model runs through the resolution window show low dispersion. Updated observations from Milan’s official meteorological stations will confirm the exact maximum by early evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 23?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 23?
28°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,509 Vol.
$38,509 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,509 Vol.
$38,509 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$104 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$567 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,329 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,528 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,806 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,923 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$11,452 Vol.
100%
29°C or higher
$11,175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show atmospheric conditions over northern Italy stabilizing around a daytime maximum of 28°C in Milan on August 23, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting that peak. Trader consensus reflects this consensus output, as the implied probability for 28°C exceeds 99%, consistent with typical late-summer subsidence patterns and historical averages near 28–30°C. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity develops earlier than projected or if localized urban heat island effects alter station readings by 1–2°C, though model runs through the resolution window show low dispersion. Updated observations from Milan’s official meteorological stations will confirm the exact maximum by early evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$38,509End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show atmospheric conditions over northern Italy stabilizing around a daytime maximum of 28°C in Milan on August 23, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting that peak. Trader consensus reflects this consensus output, as the implied probability for 28°C exceeds 99%, consistent with typical late-summer subsidence patterns and historical averages near 28–30°C. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity develops earlier than projected or if localized urban heat island effects alter station readings by 1–2°C, though model runs through the resolution window show low dispersion. Updated observations from Milan’s official meteorological stations will confirm the exact maximum by early evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,509End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show atmospheric conditions over northern Italy stabilizing around a daytime maximum of 28°C in Milan on August 23, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting that peak. Trader consensus reflects this consensus output, as the implied probability for 28°C exceeds 99%, consistent with typical late-summer subsidence patterns and historical averages near 28–30°C. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity develops earlier than projected or if localized urban heat island effects alter station readings by 1–2°C, though model runs through the resolution window show low dispersion. Updated observations from Milan’s official meteorological stations will confirm the exact maximum by early evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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