Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional Italian services show a daily maximum near 27–28 °C for Milan on August 25, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits strong insolation. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (36 %) and 26–28 °C combined (~86 %), reflecting the narrow range typical of late-summer Po Valley conditions under moderate instability. Updated short-range model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if thunderstorm timing shifts the observed high by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 25?
27°C 37%
26°C 24%
28°C 24%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
24%
27°C
37%
28°C
24%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 37%
26°C 24%
28°C 24%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$51 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$89 Vol.
1%
24°C
$49 Vol.
2%
25°C
$191 Vol.
7%
26°C
$239 Vol.
24%
27°C
$129 Vol.
37%
28°C
$66 Vol.
24%
29°C
$215 Vol.
10%
30°C or higher
$9 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional Italian services show a daily maximum near 27–28 °C for Milan on August 25, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits strong insolation. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (36 %) and 26–28 °C combined (~86 %), reflecting the narrow range typical of late-summer Po Valley conditions under moderate instability. Updated short-range model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if thunderstorm timing shifts the observed high by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,146End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional Italian services show a daily maximum near 27–28 °C for Milan on August 25, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits strong insolation. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (36 %) and 26–28 °C combined (~86 %), reflecting the narrow range typical of late-summer Po Valley conditions under moderate instability. Updated short-range model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if thunderstorm timing shifts the observed high by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,146End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional Italian services show a daily maximum near 27–28 °C for Milan on August 25, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits strong insolation. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (36 %) and 26–28 °C combined (~86 %), reflecting the narrow range typical of late-summer Po Valley conditions under moderate instability. Updated short-range model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if thunderstorm timing shifts the observed high by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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