**Forecast models and observational trends position 29°C as the most probable daily maximum for Milan on August 24, 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around 28–30°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs (including GFS) and agency outlooks from sources such as WeatherBug, iLMeteo, and Met Office indicate a high of 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly or southeasterly winds, and moderate humidity. Daytime solar heating in the Po Valley during late August typically peaks near the climatological average of ~29°C, with recent model consensus showing minimal deviation after a brief cool spell earlier in the month. The 52.5% probability on 29°C captures the central tendency of ensemble guidance, while the secondary support for 28°C and 30°C accounts for small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Evening thunderstorms noted in some runs are expected after the daily maximum is reached, limiting their impact on the high. No major synoptic shifts—such as stronger advection or extensive cloud decks—are currently indicated in the latest 24–48-hour updates, keeping the distribution narrow and centered near 29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 24?
29°C 53%
28°C 23%
30°C 21%
31°C or higher 4%
NEW
$10,764 Vol.
NEW
$10,764 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
23%
29°C
53%
30°C
21%
31°C or higher
4%
29°C 53%
28°C 23%
30°C 21%
31°C or higher 4%
NEW
$10,764 Vol.
NEW
$10,764 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$355 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$466 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$422 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$483 Vol.
1%
27°C
$888 Vol.
3%
28°C
$2,144 Vol.
23%
29°C
$2,204 Vol.
53%
30°C
$1,816 Vol.
21%
31°C or higher
$1,195 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational trends position 29°C as the most probable daily maximum for Milan on August 24, 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around 28–30°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs (including GFS) and agency outlooks from sources such as WeatherBug, iLMeteo, and Met Office indicate a high of 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly or southeasterly winds, and moderate humidity. Daytime solar heating in the Po Valley during late August typically peaks near the climatological average of ~29°C, with recent model consensus showing minimal deviation after a brief cool spell earlier in the month.
The 52.5% probability on 29°C captures the central tendency of ensemble guidance, while the secondary support for 28°C and 30°C accounts for small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Evening thunderstorms noted in some runs are expected after the daily maximum is reached, limiting their impact on the high. No major synoptic shifts—such as stronger advection or extensive cloud decks—are currently indicated in the latest 24–48-hour updates, keeping the distribution narrow and centered near 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,764End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational trends position 29°C as the most probable daily maximum for Milan on August 24, 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around 28–30°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs (including GFS) and agency outlooks from sources such as WeatherBug, iLMeteo, and Met Office indicate a high of 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly or southeasterly winds, and moderate humidity. Daytime solar heating in the Po Valley during late August typically peaks near the climatological average of ~29°C, with recent model consensus showing minimal deviation after a brief cool spell earlier in the month.
The 52.5% probability on 29°C captures the central tendency of ensemble guidance, while the secondary support for 28°C and 30°C accounts for small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Evening thunderstorms noted in some runs are expected after the daily maximum is reached, limiting their impact on the high. No major synoptic shifts—such as stronger advection or extensive cloud decks—are currently indicated in the latest 24–48-hour updates, keeping the distribution narrow and centered near 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,764End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational trends position 29°C as the most probable daily maximum for Milan on August 24, 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around 28–30°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs (including GFS) and agency outlooks from sources such as WeatherBug, iLMeteo, and Met Office indicate a high of 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly or southeasterly winds, and moderate humidity. Daytime solar heating in the Po Valley during late August typically peaks near the climatological average of ~29°C, with recent model consensus showing minimal deviation after a brief cool spell earlier in the month. The 52.5% probability on 29°C captures the central tendency of ensemble guidance, while the secondary support for 28°C and 30°C accounts for small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Evening thunderstorms noted in some runs are expected after the daily maximum is reached, limiting their impact on the high. No major synoptic shifts—such as stronger advection or extensive cloud decks—are currently indicated in the latest 24–48-hour updates, keeping the distribution narrow and centered near 29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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