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icon for Highest temperature in Busan on August 25?

Highest temperature in Busan on August 25?

icon for Highest temperature in Busan on August 25?

Highest temperature in Busan on August 25?

35°C 41%

36°C 37%

37°C 11%

34°C 9%

Polymarket
NEW

35°C 41%

36°C 37%

37°C 11%

34°C 9%

Polymarket
NEW

29°C or below

$82 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$165 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$98 Vol.

<1%

32°C

$188 Vol.

1%

33°C

$707 Vol.

3%

34°C

$432 Vol.

9%

35°C

$2,180 Vol.

41%

36°C

$153 Vol.

37%

37°C

$140 Vol.

11%

38°C

$108 Vol.

2%

39°C or higher

$22 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent dominance of the North Pacific high-pressure system is sustaining hot, humid conditions across southern South Korea into late August 2026, driving trader expectations toward peak temperatures of 35–36°C in Busan on August 25.** Official forecasts and recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance indicate daytime highs of 31–35°C nationally, with Busan (influenced by maritime air but still under the high’s edge) likely seeing strong solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling but supports daytime maxima. Historical August averages near 29.5°C and records up to 37.3°C provide context, but the current pattern—marked by expanded subtropical high influence and minimal frontal activity—has produced consecutive days above 32°C, with sensible temperatures often exceeding actual readings. The tight clustering between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in fine-scale factors such as exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer mixing, or minor steering shifts that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Model consensus remains stable for the immediate period, though updated runs and any localized shower development could refine outcomes before resolution. Traders are weighting the established heatwave persistence more heavily than longer-term seasonal decline.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,275
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent dominance of the North Pacific high-pressure system is sustaining hot, humid conditions across southern South Korea into late August 2026, driving trader expectations toward peak temperatures of 35–36°C in Busan on August 25.** Official forecasts and recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance indicate daytime highs of 31–35°C nationally, with Busan (influenced by maritime air but still under the high’s edge) likely seeing strong solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling but supports daytime maxima. Historical August averages near 29.5°C and records up to 37.3°C provide context, but the current pattern—marked by expanded subtropical high influence and minimal frontal activity—has produced consecutive days above 32°C, with sensible temperatures often exceeding actual readings. The tight clustering between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in fine-scale factors such as exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer mixing, or minor steering shifts that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Model consensus remains stable for the immediate period, though updated runs and any localized shower development could refine outcomes before resolution. Traders are weighting the established heatwave persistence more heavily than longer-term seasonal decline.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,275
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Busan on August 25?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "35°C" at 41%, followed by "36°C" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Busan on August 25?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Busan on August 25?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Busan on August 25?" is "35°C" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "36°C" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Busan on August 25?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.