Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Busan on August 24 will likely settle near 25–26°C amid persistent summer heat and humidity, with limited nocturnal cooling from coastal marine air and cloud cover. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where typical daily minima range 23–26°C absent significant frontal passages. No major weather systems or rapid cooling trends have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift expectations, supporting the market’s elevated implied probabilities for 26°C (56.5%) and nearby outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected later today could refine these ranges before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
26°C 56%
24°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 26%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
16%
23°C
24%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
56%
27°C
28%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 56%
24°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 26%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
16%
23°C
24%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
56%
27°C
28%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Busan on August 24 will likely settle near 25–26°C amid persistent summer heat and humidity, with limited nocturnal cooling from coastal marine air and cloud cover. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where typical daily minima range 23–26°C absent significant frontal passages. No major weather systems or rapid cooling trends have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift expectations, supporting the market’s elevated implied probabilities for 26°C (56.5%) and nearby outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected later today could refine these ranges before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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