Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate highs of 29–32°C for Istanbul on August 25 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer patterns where average maxima hover near 28–30°C. Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C reflects expectations of slight cooling from current 30–31°C readings, possibly due to persistent sea breezes or minor model adjustments in GFS and ECMWF runs. With resolution hinging on official station maxima and no significant heat advection or cloud cover projected, these outcomes align with stable atmospheric conditions rather than anomalous warmth. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the date could refine probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
28°C 46%
27°C 35%
29°C 12%
26°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
35%
28°C
46%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
27°C 35%
29°C 12%
26°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$71 Vol.
4%
25°C
$36 Vol.
4%
26°C
$59 Vol.
5%
27°C
$28 Vol.
35%
28°C
$216 Vol.
46%
29°C
$44 Vol.
12%
30°C
$69 Vol.
3%
31°C
$56 Vol.
4%
32°C
$42 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate highs of 29–32°C for Istanbul on August 25 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer patterns where average maxima hover near 28–30°C. Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C reflects expectations of slight cooling from current 30–31°C readings, possibly due to persistent sea breezes or minor model adjustments in GFS and ECMWF runs. With resolution hinging on official station maxima and no significant heat advection or cloud cover projected, these outcomes align with stable atmospheric conditions rather than anomalous warmth. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the date could refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$782End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate highs of 29–32°C for Istanbul on August 25 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer patterns where average maxima hover near 28–30°C. Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C reflects expectations of slight cooling from current 30–31°C readings, possibly due to persistent sea breezes or minor model adjustments in GFS and ECMWF runs. With resolution hinging on official station maxima and no significant heat advection or cloud cover projected, these outcomes align with stable atmospheric conditions rather than anomalous warmth. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the date could refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$782End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate highs of 29–32°C for Istanbul on August 25 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer patterns where average maxima hover near 28–30°C. Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C reflects expectations of slight cooling from current 30–31°C readings, possibly due to persistent sea breezes or minor model adjustments in GFS and ECMWF runs. With resolution hinging on official station maxima and no significant heat advection or cloud cover projected, these outcomes align with stable atmospheric conditions rather than anomalous warmth. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the date could refine probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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