Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models indicate Wuhan will likely see a peak temperature of 35–37°C on August 25 under the continued influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence warming and southeasterly flow. Variable cloud cover, localized afternoon convection, and easterly winds around 2–3 m/s introduce uncertainty, with clearer conditions potentially pushing readings toward 37–38°C while scattered showers or thicker cloud decks could cap them at 35–36°C. Historical August baselines for the region average near 33°C, but current patterns reflect an “autumn tiger” extension of summer heat. Traders’ near-even split between 36°C and 37°C mirrors this model spread ahead of updated ECMWF and GFS runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
37°C 34%
36°C 32%
38°C 17%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
11%
36°C
32%
37°C
34%
38°C
17%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
2%
37°C 34%
36°C 32%
38°C 17%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$28 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$559 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$101 Vol.
2%
34°C
$189 Vol.
4%
35°C
$173 Vol.
11%
36°C
$86 Vol.
32%
37°C
$241 Vol.
34%
38°C
$224 Vol.
17%
39°C
$45 Vol.
5%
40°C or higher
$50 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models indicate Wuhan will likely see a peak temperature of 35–37°C on August 25 under the continued influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence warming and southeasterly flow. Variable cloud cover, localized afternoon convection, and easterly winds around 2–3 m/s introduce uncertainty, with clearer conditions potentially pushing readings toward 37–38°C while scattered showers or thicker cloud decks could cap them at 35–36°C. Historical August baselines for the region average near 33°C, but current patterns reflect an “autumn tiger” extension of summer heat. Traders’ near-even split between 36°C and 37°C mirrors this model spread ahead of updated ECMWF and GFS runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,809End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models indicate Wuhan will likely see a peak temperature of 35–37°C on August 25 under the continued influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence warming and southeasterly flow. Variable cloud cover, localized afternoon convection, and easterly winds around 2–3 m/s introduce uncertainty, with clearer conditions potentially pushing readings toward 37–38°C while scattered showers or thicker cloud decks could cap them at 35–36°C. Historical August baselines for the region average near 33°C, but current patterns reflect an “autumn tiger” extension of summer heat. Traders’ near-even split between 36°C and 37°C mirrors this model spread ahead of updated ECMWF and GFS runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,809End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models indicate Wuhan will likely see a peak temperature of 35–37°C on August 25 under the continued influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence warming and southeasterly flow. Variable cloud cover, localized afternoon convection, and easterly winds around 2–3 m/s introduce uncertainty, with clearer conditions potentially pushing readings toward 37–38°C while scattered showers or thicker cloud decks could cap them at 35–36°C. Historical August baselines for the region average near 33°C, but current patterns reflect an “autumn tiger” extension of summer heat. Traders’ near-even split between 36°C and 37°C mirrors this model spread ahead of updated ECMWF and GFS runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions