Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models indicate Wuhan’s overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and light easterly winds typical of late-summer Yangtze basin conditions. This aligns with climatological averages for the period, where daily minima rarely drop below 24°C without a significant frontal passage. The closely matched market probabilities around 23°C-or-below versus 33°C-or-higher reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and potential for brief radiative cooling versus sustained urban heat-island effects. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the next 48-hour model runs from CMA and global ensembles for any adjustments to the minimum temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
33°C or higher 78%
32°C 50%
23°C or below 42%
27°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
42%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
28%
29°C
26%
30°C
25%
31°C
1%
32°C
50%
33°C or higher
78%
33°C or higher 78%
32°C 50%
23°C or below 42%
27°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$137 Vol.
42%
24°C
$53 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
25%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
50%
33°C or higher
$145 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models indicate Wuhan’s overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and light easterly winds typical of late-summer Yangtze basin conditions. This aligns with climatological averages for the period, where daily minima rarely drop below 24°C without a significant frontal passage. The closely matched market probabilities around 23°C-or-below versus 33°C-or-higher reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and potential for brief radiative cooling versus sustained urban heat-island effects. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the next 48-hour model runs from CMA and global ensembles for any adjustments to the minimum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$350End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models indicate Wuhan’s overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and light easterly winds typical of late-summer Yangtze basin conditions. This aligns with climatological averages for the period, where daily minima rarely drop below 24°C without a significant frontal passage. The closely matched market probabilities around 23°C-or-below versus 33°C-or-higher reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and potential for brief radiative cooling versus sustained urban heat-island effects. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the next 48-hour model runs from CMA and global ensembles for any adjustments to the minimum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$350End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models indicate Wuhan’s overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and light easterly winds typical of late-summer Yangtze basin conditions. This aligns with climatological averages for the period, where daily minima rarely drop below 24°C without a significant frontal passage. The closely matched market probabilities around 23°C-or-below versus 33°C-or-higher reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and potential for brief radiative cooling versus sustained urban heat-island effects. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the next 48-hour model runs from CMA and global ensembles for any adjustments to the minimum temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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