Current forecast models from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24, reflecting typical late-summer conditions in the Yangtze River valley where high humidity (often 70–85%) and residual cloud cover from scattered showers or thunderstorms inhibit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent developments, including a slight easing of extreme heat from convective activity starting August 23, have kept overnight lows elevated compared to drier periods, consistent with historical August averages of 25–27°C. Trader consensus favors 28°C as the leading outcome because ensemble guidance shows limited variability, though any stronger overnight winds or clearer skies could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
28°C 34%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
27%
28°C
34%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 34%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$135 Vol.
1%
23°C
$80 Vol.
7%
24°C
$75 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$5 Vol.
34%
29°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$275 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24, reflecting typical late-summer conditions in the Yangtze River valley where high humidity (often 70–85%) and residual cloud cover from scattered showers or thunderstorms inhibit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent developments, including a slight easing of extreme heat from convective activity starting August 23, have kept overnight lows elevated compared to drier periods, consistent with historical August averages of 25–27°C. Trader consensus favors 28°C as the leading outcome because ensemble guidance shows limited variability, though any stronger overnight winds or clearer skies could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$959End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24, reflecting typical late-summer conditions in the Yangtze River valley where high humidity (often 70–85%) and residual cloud cover from scattered showers or thunderstorms inhibit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent developments, including a slight easing of extreme heat from convective activity starting August 23, have kept overnight lows elevated compared to drier periods, consistent with historical August averages of 25–27°C. Trader consensus favors 28°C as the leading outcome because ensemble guidance shows limited variability, though any stronger overnight winds or clearer skies could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$959End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 24, reflecting typical late-summer conditions in the Yangtze River valley where high humidity (often 70–85%) and residual cloud cover from scattered showers or thunderstorms inhibit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent developments, including a slight easing of extreme heat from convective activity starting August 23, have kept overnight lows elevated compared to drier periods, consistent with historical August averages of 25–27°C. Trader consensus favors 28°C as the leading outcome because ensemble guidance shows limited variability, though any stronger overnight winds or clearer skies could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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