Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and supporting model guidance point to a maximum of 35°C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, though ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around peak afternoon heating. Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated dew points near 27°C favor strong surface warming when breaks in cloud cover occur, while northerly winds of 2–3 on the Beaufort scale may limit extreme readings by enhancing mixing. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 34–36°C, with the current heat-warning conditions and minor model disagreements on convective timing explaining why traders assign the highest implied probability to 36°C, followed closely by 35°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
36°C 42%
35°C 33%
37°C or higher 15%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
33%
36°C
42%
37°C or higher
15%
36°C 42%
35°C 33%
37°C or higher 15%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$609 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,071 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,502 Vol.
1%
33°C
$640 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,103 Vol.
12%
35°C
$1,023 Vol.
33%
36°C
$1,152 Vol.
42%
37°C or higher
$1,047 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and supporting model guidance point to a maximum of 35°C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, though ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around peak afternoon heating. Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated dew points near 27°C favor strong surface warming when breaks in cloud cover occur, while northerly winds of 2–3 on the Beaufort scale may limit extreme readings by enhancing mixing. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 34–36°C, with the current heat-warning conditions and minor model disagreements on convective timing explaining why traders assign the highest implied probability to 36°C, followed closely by 35°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,444End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and supporting model guidance point to a maximum of 35°C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, though ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around peak afternoon heating. Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated dew points near 27°C favor strong surface warming when breaks in cloud cover occur, while northerly winds of 2–3 on the Beaufort scale may limit extreme readings by enhancing mixing. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 34–36°C, with the current heat-warning conditions and minor model disagreements on convective timing explaining why traders assign the highest implied probability to 36°C, followed closely by 35°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,444End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and supporting model guidance point to a maximum of 35°C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, though ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around peak afternoon heating. Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated dew points near 27°C favor strong surface warming when breaks in cloud cover occur, while northerly winds of 2–3 on the Beaufort scale may limit extreme readings by enhancing mixing. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 34–36°C, with the current heat-warning conditions and minor model disagreements on convective timing explaining why traders assign the highest implied probability to 36°C, followed closely by 35°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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