National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23, 2026, consistently project a daily high in the lower to mid-90s, with afternoon thunderstorms likely under typical summer patterns of high humidity and southeast flow. Official point forecasts and tabular outlooks from the Miami office indicate maxima near 91–93°F, aligning with current observations around 88–91°F midday and heat indices exceeding 100°F. This supports the market's strong consensus on the 92–93°F bin. Afternoon convection, common in the region during August, could realistically suppress temperatures if storms initiate earlier or intensify, while clearer conditions or delayed rain might allow a brief push into the mid-90s before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 23?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?
92-93°F 99.0%
94-95°F <1%
98°F or higher <1%
79°F or below <1%
$27,358 Vol.
$27,358 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
99%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 99.0%
94-95°F <1%
98°F or higher <1%
79°F or below <1%
$27,358 Vol.
$27,358 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$596 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$739 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$518 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,102 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,671 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$9,412 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,108 Vol.
99%
94-95°F
$3,671 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$850 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$520 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23, 2026, consistently project a daily high in the lower to mid-90s, with afternoon thunderstorms likely under typical summer patterns of high humidity and southeast flow. Official point forecasts and tabular outlooks from the Miami office indicate maxima near 91–93°F, aligning with current observations around 88–91°F midday and heat indices exceeding 100°F. This supports the market's strong consensus on the 92–93°F bin. Afternoon convection, common in the region during August, could realistically suppress temperatures if storms initiate earlier or intensify, while clearer conditions or delayed rain might allow a brief push into the mid-90s before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$27,358End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23, 2026, consistently project a daily high in the lower to mid-90s, with afternoon thunderstorms likely under typical summer patterns of high humidity and southeast flow. Official point forecasts and tabular outlooks from the Miami office indicate maxima near 91–93°F, aligning with current observations around 88–91°F midday and heat indices exceeding 100°F. This supports the market's strong consensus on the 92–93°F bin. Afternoon convection, common in the region during August, could realistically suppress temperatures if storms initiate earlier or intensify, while clearer conditions or delayed rain might allow a brief push into the mid-90s before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,358End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23, 2026, consistently project a daily high in the lower to mid-90s, with afternoon thunderstorms likely under typical summer patterns of high humidity and southeast flow. Official point forecasts and tabular outlooks from the Miami office indicate maxima near 91–93°F, aligning with current observations around 88–91°F midday and heat indices exceeding 100°F. This supports the market's strong consensus on the 92–93°F bin. Afternoon convection, common in the region during August, could realistically suppress temperatures if storms initiate earlier or intensify, while clearer conditions or delayed rain might allow a brief push into the mid-90s before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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