Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecast a high near 90°F in Miami on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southeast winds of 5–10 mph and typical summer humidity. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90–93°F bins, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution. Afternoon heat indices may reach 103–105°F, but actual air temperatures are unlikely to exceed the lower 90s given current steering patterns and lack of strong subsidence or atypical warmth. Historical August averages near 91°F provide additional context, while any late-day convection could cap the peak. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst for final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 24?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 24?
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 6%
88-89°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 6%
88-89°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
83°F or below
$68 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$208 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,080 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$427 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$2,359 Vol.
35%
92-93°F
$1,821 Vol.
55%
94-95°F
$358 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$70 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$185 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$283 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecast a high near 90°F in Miami on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southeast winds of 5–10 mph and typical summer humidity. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90–93°F bins, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution. Afternoon heat indices may reach 103–105°F, but actual air temperatures are unlikely to exceed the lower 90s given current steering patterns and lack of strong subsidence or atypical warmth. Historical August averages near 91°F provide additional context, while any late-day convection could cap the peak. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst for final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$7,018End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecast a high near 90°F in Miami on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southeast winds of 5–10 mph and typical summer humidity. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90–93°F bins, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution. Afternoon heat indices may reach 103–105°F, but actual air temperatures are unlikely to exceed the lower 90s given current steering patterns and lack of strong subsidence or atypical warmth. Historical August averages near 91°F provide additional context, while any late-day convection could cap the peak. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst for final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,018End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecast a high near 90°F in Miami on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southeast winds of 5–10 mph and typical summer humidity. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90–93°F bins, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution. Afternoon heat indices may reach 103–105°F, but actual air temperatures are unlikely to exceed the lower 90s given current steering patterns and lack of strong subsidence or atypical warmth. Historical August averages near 91°F provide additional context, while any late-day convection could cap the peak. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst for final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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