Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 24, 2026, projects a Central Park high near 78–81°F, with the tight clustering of 80–81°F (45%) and 78–79°F (36.5%) odds reflecting modest spread across runs. Key differentiators include the degree of afternoon cloud cover, southwest flow strength, and any weak sea-breeze or boundary effects that could cap or enhance peak readings by a degree or two. Recent days have featured highs of 76–81°F under similar late-summer patterns, and climatological normals sit near 83°F, so traders weigh the current cooler bias against the possibility of clearer skies or delayed marine influence. Updated model cycles and the 00Z/12Z NWS runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
$78 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$334 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$281 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$372 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$916 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$2,989 Vol.
47%
82-83°F
$910 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$209 Vol.
3%
86°F or higher
$423 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 24, 2026, projects a Central Park high near 78–81°F, with the tight clustering of 80–81°F (45%) and 78–79°F (36.5%) odds reflecting modest spread across runs. Key differentiators include the degree of afternoon cloud cover, southwest flow strength, and any weak sea-breeze or boundary effects that could cap or enhance peak readings by a degree or two. Recent days have featured highs of 76–81°F under similar late-summer patterns, and climatological normals sit near 83°F, so traders weigh the current cooler bias against the possibility of clearer skies or delayed marine influence. Updated model cycles and the 00Z/12Z NWS runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$6,668End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 24, 2026, projects a Central Park high near 78–81°F, with the tight clustering of 80–81°F (45%) and 78–79°F (36.5%) odds reflecting modest spread across runs. Key differentiators include the degree of afternoon cloud cover, southwest flow strength, and any weak sea-breeze or boundary effects that could cap or enhance peak readings by a degree or two. Recent days have featured highs of 76–81°F under similar late-summer patterns, and climatological normals sit near 83°F, so traders weigh the current cooler bias against the possibility of clearer skies or delayed marine influence. Updated model cycles and the 00Z/12Z NWS runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,668End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 24, 2026, projects a Central Park high near 78–81°F, with the tight clustering of 80–81°F (45%) and 78–79°F (36.5%) odds reflecting modest spread across runs. Key differentiators include the degree of afternoon cloud cover, southwest flow strength, and any weak sea-breeze or boundary effects that could cap or enhance peak readings by a degree or two. Recent days have featured highs of 76–81°F under similar late-summer patterns, and climatological normals sit near 83°F, so traders weigh the current cooler bias against the possibility of clearer skies or delayed marine influence. Updated model cycles and the 00Z/12Z NWS runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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