Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 24 under partly cloudy skies following daytime clearing. This positioning underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69°F, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimums driven by radiative cooling rates, moderate humidity levels near 50–60%, and light westerly winds that limit boundary-layer mixing. The urban heat island effect from Manhattan's built environment further tempers extremes relative to historical August baselines around 67°F, while model consensus shows limited spread and no significant cold advection expected before resolution via Central Park observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 24?
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 34%
64-65°F 24%
70-71°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
3%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 34%
64-65°F 24%
70-71°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
$263 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$165 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$75 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$243 Vol.
6%
62-63°F
$110 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$22 Vol.
24%
66-67°F
$61 Vol.
34%
68-69°F
$109 Vol.
34%
70-71°F
$9 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$229 Vol.
3%
74°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 24 under partly cloudy skies following daytime clearing. This positioning underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69°F, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimums driven by radiative cooling rates, moderate humidity levels near 50–60%, and light westerly winds that limit boundary-layer mixing. The urban heat island effect from Manhattan's built environment further tempers extremes relative to historical August baselines around 67°F, while model consensus shows limited spread and no significant cold advection expected before resolution via Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,292End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 24 under partly cloudy skies following daytime clearing. This positioning underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69°F, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimums driven by radiative cooling rates, moderate humidity levels near 50–60%, and light westerly winds that limit boundary-layer mixing. The urban heat island effect from Manhattan's built environment further tempers extremes relative to historical August baselines around 67°F, while model consensus shows limited spread and no significant cold advection expected before resolution via Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,292End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 24 under partly cloudy skies following daytime clearing. This positioning underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69°F, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimums driven by radiative cooling rates, moderate humidity levels near 50–60%, and light westerly winds that limit boundary-layer mixing. The urban heat island effect from Manhattan's built environment further tempers extremes relative to historical August baselines around 67°F, while model consensus shows limited spread and no significant cold advection expected before resolution via Central Park observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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