**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on August 24 centers on 78–81°F outcomes, reflecting typical late-August subtropical conditions and current forecast guidance.** In Miami's humid climate, overnight lows are buffered by high moisture content that limits radiative cooling, combined with light winds and potential scattered showers or clouds that trap heat. Official outlooks and recent observations show daily lows consistently in the 78–82°F range, with the most probable values clustered near the August average of about 80°F. Current National Weather Service and extended guidance point to a low near 80°F under partly cloudy skies with a southeast breeze, consistent with the market's top probabilities (80–81°F at 44.5% and 78–79°F at 30%). No significant cold-air advection, frontal passages, or atypical dry-air intrusions are expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping extremes below 76°F or above 82°F at low odds. Traders are weighting the strong climatological baseline and latest model consensus, with minor adjustments possible if evening convection or wind shifts alter overnight cooling rates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 24?
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$12 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$25 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$185 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$16 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$79 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$281 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$181 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on August 24 centers on 78–81°F outcomes, reflecting typical late-August subtropical conditions and current forecast guidance.** In Miami's humid climate, overnight lows are buffered by high moisture content that limits radiative cooling, combined with light winds and potential scattered showers or clouds that trap heat. Official outlooks and recent observations show daily lows consistently in the 78–82°F range, with the most probable values clustered near the August average of about 80°F.
Current National Weather Service and extended guidance point to a low near 80°F under partly cloudy skies with a southeast breeze, consistent with the market's top probabilities (80–81°F at 44.5% and 78–79°F at 30%). No significant cold-air advection, frontal passages, or atypical dry-air intrusions are expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping extremes below 76°F or above 82°F at low odds. Traders are weighting the strong climatological baseline and latest model consensus, with minor adjustments possible if evening convection or wind shifts alter overnight cooling rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$794End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on August 24 centers on 78–81°F outcomes, reflecting typical late-August subtropical conditions and current forecast guidance.** In Miami's humid climate, overnight lows are buffered by high moisture content that limits radiative cooling, combined with light winds and potential scattered showers or clouds that trap heat. Official outlooks and recent observations show daily lows consistently in the 78–82°F range, with the most probable values clustered near the August average of about 80°F.
Current National Weather Service and extended guidance point to a low near 80°F under partly cloudy skies with a southeast breeze, consistent with the market's top probabilities (80–81°F at 44.5% and 78–79°F at 30%). No significant cold-air advection, frontal passages, or atypical dry-air intrusions are expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping extremes below 76°F or above 82°F at low odds. Traders are weighting the strong climatological baseline and latest model consensus, with minor adjustments possible if evening convection or wind shifts alter overnight cooling rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$794End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on August 24 centers on 78–81°F outcomes, reflecting typical late-August subtropical conditions and current forecast guidance.** In Miami's humid climate, overnight lows are buffered by high moisture content that limits radiative cooling, combined with light winds and potential scattered showers or clouds that trap heat. Official outlooks and recent observations show daily lows consistently in the 78–82°F range, with the most probable values clustered near the August average of about 80°F. Current National Weather Service and extended guidance point to a low near 80°F under partly cloudy skies with a southeast breeze, consistent with the market's top probabilities (80–81°F at 44.5% and 78–79°F at 30%). No significant cold-air advection, frontal passages, or atypical dry-air intrusions are expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping extremes below 76°F or above 82°F at low odds. Traders are weighting the strong climatological baseline and latest model consensus, with minor adjustments possible if evening convection or wind shifts alter overnight cooling rates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions