**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 23 daily minimum temperature centers on the 80–81°F bin (77.5% implied probability) because official National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations consistently point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s.** Multiple model runs and station data from Miami International Airport show the temperature bottoming near 80°F amid persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered evening thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where Miami's normal low sits near 78°F, but the current warm, moist air mass—reinforced by a lack of frontal passages or tropical influences—has kept readings elevated. The secondary 78–79°F outcome (29%) reflects residual uncertainty around exact overnight minima if storms enhance localized cooling, while lower bins remain low-probability given the absence of any cold-air advection. Higher bins are negligible as daytime heat and humidity prevent significant overnight drops. Key upcoming inputs include final NWS verification and airport observations, which will resolve the market once the 24-hour period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?
80-81°F 78%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 4.3%
$3,696 Vol.
$3,696 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
79%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 78%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 4.3%
$3,696 Vol.
$3,696 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$78 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$222 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$320 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$35 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$78 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$560 Vol.
79%
82-83°F
$610 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,508 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$55 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$115 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 23 daily minimum temperature centers on the 80–81°F bin (77.5% implied probability) because official National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations consistently point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s.** Multiple model runs and station data from Miami International Airport show the temperature bottoming near 80°F amid persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered evening thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling.
This aligns with August climatology, where Miami's normal low sits near 78°F, but the current warm, moist air mass—reinforced by a lack of frontal passages or tropical influences—has kept readings elevated. The secondary 78–79°F outcome (29%) reflects residual uncertainty around exact overnight minima if storms enhance localized cooling, while lower bins remain low-probability given the absence of any cold-air advection. Higher bins are negligible as daytime heat and humidity prevent significant overnight drops.
Key upcoming inputs include final NWS verification and airport observations, which will resolve the market once the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,696End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 23 daily minimum temperature centers on the 80–81°F bin (77.5% implied probability) because official National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations consistently point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s.** Multiple model runs and station data from Miami International Airport show the temperature bottoming near 80°F amid persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered evening thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling.
This aligns with August climatology, where Miami's normal low sits near 78°F, but the current warm, moist air mass—reinforced by a lack of frontal passages or tropical influences—has kept readings elevated. The secondary 78–79°F outcome (29%) reflects residual uncertainty around exact overnight minima if storms enhance localized cooling, while lower bins remain low-probability given the absence of any cold-air advection. Higher bins are negligible as daytime heat and humidity prevent significant overnight drops.
Key upcoming inputs include final NWS verification and airport observations, which will resolve the market once the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,696End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 23 daily minimum temperature centers on the 80–81°F bin (77.5% implied probability) because official National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations consistently point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s.** Multiple model runs and station data from Miami International Airport show the temperature bottoming near 80°F amid persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered evening thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where Miami's normal low sits near 78°F, but the current warm, moist air mass—reinforced by a lack of frontal passages or tropical influences—has kept readings elevated. The secondary 78–79°F outcome (29%) reflects residual uncertainty around exact overnight minima if storms enhance localized cooling, while lower bins remain low-probability given the absence of any cold-air advection. Higher bins are negligible as daytime heat and humidity prevent significant overnight drops. Key upcoming inputs include final NWS verification and airport observations, which will resolve the market once the 24-hour period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions