Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 24 centered near 21–22°C, driven by easterly advection of continental air under building high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow moderate daytime radiative heating. Low precipitation chances and light to moderate winds limit both cooling from cloud cover and additional warming from strong insolation or southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when average highs hover around 21.5°C at Schiphol, with recent model runs showing only minor spread in peak values due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the top two outcomes because small forecast revisions in afternoon temperatures could easily shift the daily maximum across the 21–22°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
21°C 45%
22°C 39%
20°C 10%
23°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
45%
22°C
39%
23°C
8%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 45%
22°C 39%
20°C 10%
23°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$320 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$168 Vol.
1%
19°C
$229 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,128 Vol.
10%
21°C
$821 Vol.
45%
22°C
$1,504 Vol.
39%
23°C
$1,039 Vol.
8%
24°C
$276 Vol.
3%
25°C
$242 Vol.
1%
26°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$515 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 24 centered near 21–22°C, driven by easterly advection of continental air under building high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow moderate daytime radiative heating. Low precipitation chances and light to moderate winds limit both cooling from cloud cover and additional warming from strong insolation or southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when average highs hover around 21.5°C at Schiphol, with recent model runs showing only minor spread in peak values due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the top two outcomes because small forecast revisions in afternoon temperatures could easily shift the daily maximum across the 21–22°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,488End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 24 centered near 21–22°C, driven by easterly advection of continental air under building high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow moderate daytime radiative heating. Low precipitation chances and light to moderate winds limit both cooling from cloud cover and additional warming from strong insolation or southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when average highs hover around 21.5°C at Schiphol, with recent model runs showing only minor spread in peak values due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the top two outcomes because small forecast revisions in afternoon temperatures could easily shift the daily maximum across the 21–22°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,488End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 24 centered near 21–22°C, driven by easterly advection of continental air under building high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow moderate daytime radiative heating. Low precipitation chances and light to moderate winds limit both cooling from cloud cover and additional warming from strong insolation or southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when average highs hover around 21.5°C at Schiphol, with recent model runs showing only minor spread in peak values due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the top two outcomes because small forecast revisions in afternoon temperatures could easily shift the daily maximum across the 21–22°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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