Strong trader consensus around a 26°C low for Taipei on August 23 stems from official Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting model guidance showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical late-summer conditions. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Current surface observations and short-range guidance align closely with this threshold. While 96% implied probability signals high confidence, realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary introducing slightly cooler air, though neither appears likely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 23?
26°C 96%
25°C 2%
24°C 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
$6,097 Vol.
$6,097 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
96%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 96%
25°C 2%
24°C 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
$6,097 Vol.
$6,097 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$688 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$480 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$223 Vol.
1%
25°C
$173 Vol.
2%
26°C
$411 Vol.
96%
27°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,302 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$508 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around a 26°C low for Taipei on August 23 stems from official Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting model guidance showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical late-summer conditions. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Current surface observations and short-range guidance align closely with this threshold. While 96% implied probability signals high confidence, realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary introducing slightly cooler air, though neither appears likely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,097End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around a 26°C low for Taipei on August 23 stems from official Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting model guidance showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical late-summer conditions. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Current surface observations and short-range guidance align closely with this threshold. While 96% implied probability signals high confidence, realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary introducing slightly cooler air, though neither appears likely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,097End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around a 26°C low for Taipei on August 23 stems from official Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting model guidance showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical late-summer conditions. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Current surface observations and short-range guidance align closely with this threshold. While 96% implied probability signals high confidence, realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary introducing slightly cooler air, though neither appears likely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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