Recent observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service and NEA stations show daily maxima frequently reaching 33–34 °C amid a strengthening El Niño, which favors suppressed rainfall and elevated surface temperatures across the Maritime Continent. Historical August baselines near 31 °C have been exceeded this month, with a 34.8 °C reading on August 23 underscoring the current warm anomaly. Short-term model guidance indicates limited cloud cover and light winds through August 25, sustaining heat accumulation, while the 1–2 °C diurnal range typical for the season limits upside beyond 34 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to a 33 °C peak, reflecting the narrow but well-supported window between recent verified highs and the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 25?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 25?
33°C 54%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
31°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
22%
33°C
54%
34°C
16%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
31°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$277 Vol.
1%
30°C
$55 Vol.
2%
31°C
$164 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,300 Vol.
22%
33°C
$1,180 Vol.
54%
34°C
$1,080 Vol.
16%
35°C
$208 Vol.
2%
36°C
$99 Vol.
1%
37°C
$8 Vol.
1%
38°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$241 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service and NEA stations show daily maxima frequently reaching 33–34 °C amid a strengthening El Niño, which favors suppressed rainfall and elevated surface temperatures across the Maritime Continent. Historical August baselines near 31 °C have been exceeded this month, with a 34.8 °C reading on August 23 underscoring the current warm anomaly. Short-term model guidance indicates limited cloud cover and light winds through August 25, sustaining heat accumulation, while the 1–2 °C diurnal range typical for the season limits upside beyond 34 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to a 33 °C peak, reflecting the narrow but well-supported window between recent verified highs and the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,728End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service and NEA stations show daily maxima frequently reaching 33–34 °C amid a strengthening El Niño, which favors suppressed rainfall and elevated surface temperatures across the Maritime Continent. Historical August baselines near 31 °C have been exceeded this month, with a 34.8 °C reading on August 23 underscoring the current warm anomaly. Short-term model guidance indicates limited cloud cover and light winds through August 25, sustaining heat accumulation, while the 1–2 °C diurnal range typical for the season limits upside beyond 34 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to a 33 °C peak, reflecting the narrow but well-supported window between recent verified highs and the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,728End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service and NEA stations show daily maxima frequently reaching 33–34 °C amid a strengthening El Niño, which favors suppressed rainfall and elevated surface temperatures across the Maritime Continent. Historical August baselines near 31 °C have been exceeded this month, with a 34.8 °C reading on August 23 underscoring the current warm anomaly. Short-term model guidance indicates limited cloud cover and light winds through August 25, sustaining heat accumulation, while the 1–2 °C diurnal range typical for the season limits upside beyond 34 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to a 33 °C peak, reflecting the narrow but well-supported window between recent verified highs and the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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