Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 26–28°C for Singapore on August 24, consistent with the market’s clustered probabilities around those levels. Persistent southeasterly monsoon flow, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and variable cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical Southwest Monsoon conditions. Historical August minimums average around 26°C, with recent observations showing similar nighttime readings amid below-average rainfall and occasional haze influences from regional fires. Key variables differentiating 26°C versus 28°C outcomes include exact timing of any brief clear spells versus increased low-level moisture or wind speed, which official updates from the Meteorological Service Singapore or revised global model runs could clarify ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
28°C 37%
26°C 21%
27°C 20%
29°C 16%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
21%
27°C
20%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 37%
26°C 21%
27°C 20%
29°C 16%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
21%
27°C
20%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 26–28°C for Singapore on August 24, consistent with the market’s clustered probabilities around those levels. Persistent southeasterly monsoon flow, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and variable cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical Southwest Monsoon conditions. Historical August minimums average around 26°C, with recent observations showing similar nighttime readings amid below-average rainfall and occasional haze influences from regional fires. Key variables differentiating 26°C versus 28°C outcomes include exact timing of any brief clear spells versus increased low-level moisture or wind speed, which official updates from the Meteorological Service Singapore or revised global model runs could clarify ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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