Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and supporting models indicate a likely maximum of 32–33°C in Karachi on August 24 amid the active southwest monsoon. High humidity from moist monsoon currents, combined with the moderating influence of the Arabian Sea breeze, typically caps daytime peaks near seasonal averages of 31–32°C while increasing the chance of scattered showers or cloud cover that can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C. Minor model differences in timing of any convection or wind strength create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighting official guidance heavily given the narrow resolution thresholds and rapid changes possible in coastal monsoon conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
33°C 44%
32°C 36%
34°C 11%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
36%
33°C
44%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
32°C 36%
34°C 11%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
36%
33°C
44%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and supporting models indicate a likely maximum of 32–33°C in Karachi on August 24 amid the active southwest monsoon. High humidity from moist monsoon currents, combined with the moderating influence of the Arabian Sea breeze, typically caps daytime peaks near seasonal averages of 31–32°C while increasing the chance of scattered showers or cloud cover that can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C. Minor model differences in timing of any convection or wind strength create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighting official guidance heavily given the narrow resolution thresholds and rapid changes possible in coastal monsoon conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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