Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS indicate Moscow’s August 24 high will likely peak at 19–20 °C as westerly flow advects cooler maritime air masses, with variable cloud cover and a 20–50% chance of light showers reducing insolation and surface heating. These conditions align closely with the 21.2 °C climatological average while capping stronger diurnal warming under ~1010 hPa pressure. The narrow spread between model runs and observed steering patterns positions 19 °C and 20 °C as the dominant outcomes, with lower probabilities for deviations beyond this band given limited forecast uncertainty and typical late-summer radiative cooling. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
19°C 49%
20°C 35%
18°C 9%
21°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
49%
20°C
35%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 49%
20°C 35%
18°C 9%
21°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$289 Vol.
1%
16°C
$148 Vol.
1%
17°C
$322 Vol.
3%
18°C
$425 Vol.
9%
19°C
$588 Vol.
49%
20°C
$2,189 Vol.
35%
21°C
$463 Vol.
6%
22°C
$325 Vol.
3%
23°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS indicate Moscow’s August 24 high will likely peak at 19–20 °C as westerly flow advects cooler maritime air masses, with variable cloud cover and a 20–50% chance of light showers reducing insolation and surface heating. These conditions align closely with the 21.2 °C climatological average while capping stronger diurnal warming under ~1010 hPa pressure. The narrow spread between model runs and observed steering patterns positions 19 °C and 20 °C as the dominant outcomes, with lower probabilities for deviations beyond this band given limited forecast uncertainty and typical late-summer radiative cooling. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,410End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS indicate Moscow’s August 24 high will likely peak at 19–20 °C as westerly flow advects cooler maritime air masses, with variable cloud cover and a 20–50% chance of light showers reducing insolation and surface heating. These conditions align closely with the 21.2 °C climatological average while capping stronger diurnal warming under ~1010 hPa pressure. The narrow spread between model runs and observed steering patterns positions 19 °C and 20 °C as the dominant outcomes, with lower probabilities for deviations beyond this band given limited forecast uncertainty and typical late-summer radiative cooling. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,410End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS indicate Moscow’s August 24 high will likely peak at 19–20 °C as westerly flow advects cooler maritime air masses, with variable cloud cover and a 20–50% chance of light showers reducing insolation and surface heating. These conditions align closely with the 21.2 °C climatological average while capping stronger diurnal warming under ~1010 hPa pressure. The narrow spread between model runs and observed steering patterns positions 19 °C and 20 °C as the dominant outcomes, with lower probabilities for deviations beyond this band given limited forecast uncertainty and typical late-summer radiative cooling. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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