Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C in Moscow on August 23 under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and negligible precipitation, establishing 23°C as the near-certain peak. This aligns with late-August climatology, where afternoon temperatures rise steadily from overnight lows near 16–18°C without anomalous heat advection or frontal activity. Trader consensus at 100% on 23°C reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observational consistency. Only an unexpected shift in steering patterns or rapid model revision could alter the outcome before final daily maximum verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$25,509 Vol.
$25,509 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$25,509 Vol.
$25,509 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
17°C or below
$217 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$476 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,539 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,990 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,882 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,170 Vol.
100%
24°C
$5,487 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,170 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$734 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$556 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C in Moscow on August 23 under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and negligible precipitation, establishing 23°C as the near-certain peak. This aligns with late-August climatology, where afternoon temperatures rise steadily from overnight lows near 16–18°C without anomalous heat advection or frontal activity. Trader consensus at 100% on 23°C reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observational consistency. Only an unexpected shift in steering patterns or rapid model revision could alter the outcome before final daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$25,509End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C in Moscow on August 23 under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and negligible precipitation, establishing 23°C as the near-certain peak. This aligns with late-August climatology, where afternoon temperatures rise steadily from overnight lows near 16–18°C without anomalous heat advection or frontal activity. Trader consensus at 100% on 23°C reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observational consistency. Only an unexpected shift in steering patterns or rapid model revision could alter the outcome before final daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,509End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models converge on a daytime high of 22–24°C in Moscow on August 23 under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and negligible precipitation, establishing 23°C as the near-certain peak. This aligns with late-August climatology, where afternoon temperatures rise steadily from overnight lows near 16–18°C without anomalous heat advection or frontal activity. Trader consensus at 100% on 23°C reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observational consistency. Only an unexpected shift in steering patterns or rapid model revision could alter the outcome before final daily maximum verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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