Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum near 12°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds of 7–12 m/s, while finer-resolution models and hourly guidance cluster overnight lows between 15–16°C amid limited radiative cooling. Trader consensus on 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects model agreement that persistent cloud cover and mixing from moderate winds will prevent deeper drops toward the 11.9°C climatological average, though any late-night clearing could allow brief cooling toward 14°C. Resolution hinges on verified minimum readings from Moscow stations before dawn on August 24.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
15°C 40%
14°C 19%
13°C 19%
12°C 14%
$2,196 Vol.
$2,196 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
14%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
40%
16°C
34%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 40%
14°C 19%
13°C 19%
12°C 14%
$2,196 Vol.
$2,196 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$787 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$79 Vol.
14%
13°C
$10 Vol.
19%
14°C
$10 Vol.
19%
15°C
$38 Vol.
40%
16°C
$22 Vol.
34%
17°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$479 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum near 12°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds of 7–12 m/s, while finer-resolution models and hourly guidance cluster overnight lows between 15–16°C amid limited radiative cooling. Trader consensus on 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects model agreement that persistent cloud cover and mixing from moderate winds will prevent deeper drops toward the 11.9°C climatological average, though any late-night clearing could allow brief cooling toward 14°C. Resolution hinges on verified minimum readings from Moscow stations before dawn on August 24.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,196End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum near 12°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds of 7–12 m/s, while finer-resolution models and hourly guidance cluster overnight lows between 15–16°C amid limited radiative cooling. Trader consensus on 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects model agreement that persistent cloud cover and mixing from moderate winds will prevent deeper drops toward the 11.9°C climatological average, though any late-night clearing could allow brief cooling toward 14°C. Resolution hinges on verified minimum readings from Moscow stations before dawn on August 24.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,196End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum near 12°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds of 7–12 m/s, while finer-resolution models and hourly guidance cluster overnight lows between 15–16°C amid limited radiative cooling. Trader consensus on 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects model agreement that persistent cloud cover and mixing from moderate winds will prevent deeper drops toward the 11.9°C climatological average, though any late-night clearing could allow brief cooling toward 14°C. Resolution hinges on verified minimum readings from Moscow stations before dawn on August 24.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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