Recent forecast models from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicate Moscow will see daytime highs near 19–21°C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, setting up overnight radiative cooling that could push the minimum to 12–14°C. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after mid-August warmth, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover and any weak frontal passages that might limit drops below 11°C or allow brief clearing toward 9°C or lower. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched leading outcomes around 12–13°C versus the 36.5% on 9°C or below, captures this genuine forecast variability typical for 24–48 hour temperature resolution, with upcoming model runs and observational updates likely to refine the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
9°C or below 72%
13°C 37%
12°C 27%
10°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
72%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
20%
15°C
19%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
9°C or below 72%
13°C 37%
12°C 27%
10°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$47 Vol.
72%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$5 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$9 Vol.
19%
16°C
$43 Vol.
4%
17°C
$30 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$150 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicate Moscow will see daytime highs near 19–21°C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, setting up overnight radiative cooling that could push the minimum to 12–14°C. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after mid-August warmth, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover and any weak frontal passages that might limit drops below 11°C or allow brief clearing toward 9°C or lower. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched leading outcomes around 12–13°C versus the 36.5% on 9°C or below, captures this genuine forecast variability typical for 24–48 hour temperature resolution, with upcoming model runs and observational updates likely to refine the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$290End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicate Moscow will see daytime highs near 19–21°C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, setting up overnight radiative cooling that could push the minimum to 12–14°C. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after mid-August warmth, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover and any weak frontal passages that might limit drops below 11°C or allow brief clearing toward 9°C or lower. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched leading outcomes around 12–13°C versus the 36.5% on 9°C or below, captures this genuine forecast variability typical for 24–48 hour temperature resolution, with upcoming model runs and observational updates likely to refine the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$290End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicate Moscow will see daytime highs near 19–21°C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, setting up overnight radiative cooling that could push the minimum to 12–14°C. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after mid-August warmth, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover and any weak frontal passages that might limit drops below 11°C or allow brief clearing toward 9°C or lower. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched leading outcomes around 12–13°C versus the 36.5% on 9°C or below, captures this genuine forecast variability typical for 24–48 hour temperature resolution, with upcoming model runs and observational updates likely to refine the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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