Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature of 34–37°C in Chongqing on August 24, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with the 37°C outcome holding the highest implied probability at 53.5%. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover, reduce solar insolation, and limit daytime heating in this subtropical inland basin, where urban heat island effects and high humidity normally amplify extremes. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, but current ensemble guidance shows modest cooling from precipitation, keeping 38°C or higher at lower odds around 25.5%. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
37°C 54%
38°C 26%
36°C 16%
39°C or higher 5%
NEW
$12,750 Vol.
NEW
$12,750 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
16%
37°C
54%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
5%
37°C 54%
38°C 26%
36°C 16%
39°C or higher 5%
NEW
$12,750 Vol.
NEW
$12,750 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
$431 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$684 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,098 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$987 Vol.
1%
34°C
$987 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,453 Vol.
3%
36°C
$2,613 Vol.
16%
37°C
$1,701 Vol.
54%
38°C
$1,685 Vol.
26%
39°C or higher
$941 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature of 34–37°C in Chongqing on August 24, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with the 37°C outcome holding the highest implied probability at 53.5%. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover, reduce solar insolation, and limit daytime heating in this subtropical inland basin, where urban heat island effects and high humidity normally amplify extremes. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, but current ensemble guidance shows modest cooling from precipitation, keeping 38°C or higher at lower odds around 25.5%. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,750End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature of 34–37°C in Chongqing on August 24, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with the 37°C outcome holding the highest implied probability at 53.5%. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover, reduce solar insolation, and limit daytime heating in this subtropical inland basin, where urban heat island effects and high humidity normally amplify extremes. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, but current ensemble guidance shows modest cooling from precipitation, keeping 38°C or higher at lower odds around 25.5%. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,750End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature of 34–37°C in Chongqing on August 24, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with the 37°C outcome holding the highest implied probability at 53.5%. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover, reduce solar insolation, and limit daytime heating in this subtropical inland basin, where urban heat island effects and high humidity normally amplify extremes. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, but current ensemble guidance shows modest cooling from precipitation, keeping 38°C or higher at lower odds around 25.5%. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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