Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Chongqing will experience typical late-August subtropical conditions on August 24, with daytime highs near 35–38°C and overnight minima likely in the 25–28°C range amid scattered showers or thunderstorms. High humidity and limited radiative cooling from cloud cover or light winds are key drivers keeping the lowest temperature elevated, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C or higher (43.5%) and clustering around 24–28°C. These probabilities reflect model uncertainty in exact minimums, influenced by convective activity and the urban heat island effect in this mountainous region. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but persistent summer warmth and any precipitation timing could shift outcomes toward the warmer brackets. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will be decisive for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
29°C or higher 44%
27°C 35%
25°C 34%
24°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
21%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
16%
27°C
35%
28°C
34%
29°C or higher
44%
29°C or higher 44%
27°C 35%
25°C 34%
24°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$40 Vol.
1%
20°C
$29 Vol.
1%
21°C
$70 Vol.
1%
22°C
$143 Vol.
2%
23°C
$104 Vol.
21%
24°C
$26 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$42 Vol.
16%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Chongqing will experience typical late-August subtropical conditions on August 24, with daytime highs near 35–38°C and overnight minima likely in the 25–28°C range amid scattered showers or thunderstorms. High humidity and limited radiative cooling from cloud cover or light winds are key drivers keeping the lowest temperature elevated, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C or higher (43.5%) and clustering around 24–28°C.
These probabilities reflect model uncertainty in exact minimums, influenced by convective activity and the urban heat island effect in this mountainous region. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but persistent summer warmth and any precipitation timing could shift outcomes toward the warmer brackets. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will be decisive for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$454End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Chongqing will experience typical late-August subtropical conditions on August 24, with daytime highs near 35–38°C and overnight minima likely in the 25–28°C range amid scattered showers or thunderstorms. High humidity and limited radiative cooling from cloud cover or light winds are key drivers keeping the lowest temperature elevated, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C or higher (43.5%) and clustering around 24–28°C.
These probabilities reflect model uncertainty in exact minimums, influenced by convective activity and the urban heat island effect in this mountainous region. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but persistent summer warmth and any precipitation timing could shift outcomes toward the warmer brackets. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will be decisive for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$454End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Chongqing will experience typical late-August subtropical conditions on August 24, with daytime highs near 35–38°C and overnight minima likely in the 25–28°C range amid scattered showers or thunderstorms. High humidity and limited radiative cooling from cloud cover or light winds are key drivers keeping the lowest temperature elevated, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C or higher (43.5%) and clustering around 24–28°C. These probabilities reflect model uncertainty in exact minimums, influenced by convective activity and the urban heat island effect in this mountainous region. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but persistent summer warmth and any precipitation timing could shift outcomes toward the warmer brackets. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will be decisive for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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