Ongoing forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station point to overnight lows of 28–29°C across urban districts on August 23, driven by a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass that limits nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity near 60–70% and scattered cloud cover. Recent observations show minimums holding near 27–29°C despite daytime highs approaching 39°C, with only localized showers providing minimal relief. Historical August averages near 25–26°C underscore the current anomaly tied to the ongoing heat event. Market-implied odds heavily favor 29°C as traders weigh these official guidance and model runs, while lower thresholds like 25–27°C reflect residual uncertainty from possible localized cooling in outlying areas before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 23?
29°C 99.5%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
27°C 1.0%
$2,357 Vol.
$2,357 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 99.5%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
27°C 1.0%
$2,357 Vol.
$2,357 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$167 Vol.
No
22°C
$223 Vol.
No
23°C
$310 Vol.
No
24°C
$439 Vol.
No
25°C
$92 Vol.
No
26°C
$97 Vol.
No
27°C
$172 Vol.
No
28°C
$35 Vol.
No
29°C
$268 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$401 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$153 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station point to overnight lows of 28–29°C across urban districts on August 23, driven by a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass that limits nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity near 60–70% and scattered cloud cover. Recent observations show minimums holding near 27–29°C despite daytime highs approaching 39°C, with only localized showers providing minimal relief. Historical August averages near 25–26°C underscore the current anomaly tied to the ongoing heat event. Market-implied odds heavily favor 29°C as traders weigh these official guidance and model runs, while lower thresholds like 25–27°C reflect residual uncertainty from possible localized cooling in outlying areas before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,357End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station point to overnight lows of 28–29°C across urban districts on August 23, driven by a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass that limits nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity near 60–70% and scattered cloud cover. Recent observations show minimums holding near 27–29°C despite daytime highs approaching 39°C, with only localized showers providing minimal relief. Historical August averages near 25–26°C underscore the current anomaly tied to the ongoing heat event. Market-implied odds heavily favor 29°C as traders weigh these official guidance and model runs, while lower thresholds like 25–27°C reflect residual uncertainty from possible localized cooling in outlying areas before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,357End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Ongoing forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station point to overnight lows of 28–29°C across urban districts on August 23, driven by a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass that limits nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity near 60–70% and scattered cloud cover. Recent observations show minimums holding near 27–29°C despite daytime highs approaching 39°C, with only localized showers providing minimal relief. Historical August averages near 25–26°C underscore the current anomaly tied to the ongoing heat event. Market-implied odds heavily favor 29°C as traders weigh these official guidance and model runs, while lower thresholds like 25–27°C reflect residual uncertainty from possible localized cooling in outlying areas before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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