Several power hitters remain within striking distance of 40 home runs with roughly 40 games left in the 2026 regular season. Kyle Schwarber leads with 37–38, followed closely by Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez at 36 and Junior Caminero at 35. Their strong recent slugging rates, favorable ballpark factors in Philadelphia, Houston, and Atlanta, plus consistent lineup spots have kept them on pace. Remaining schedule strength, potential rest days or injuries, and late-season bullpen matchups could accelerate or stall final totals, while younger contributors like Pete Crow-Armstrong add depth to the chase. Trader consensus reflects these narrow margins and the historical difficulty of crossing 40 in the final stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$27,584 Vol.
Oct 11, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
98%
Yordan Alvarez
90%
Junior Caminero
83%
Matt Olson
80%
Kazuma Okamoto
50%
Munetaka Murakami
25%
Shohei Ohtani
23%
Pete Alonso
9%
Colson Montgomery
13%
Brandon Lowe
9%
Christian Walker
8%
Jordan Walker
8%
James Wood
8%
CJ Abrams
8%
Bryce Harper
7%
Miguel Vargas
7%
Wilson Contreras
6%
6%
Ketel Marte
6%
5%
Manny Machado
4%
Aaron Judge
3%
Juan Soto
3%
Nick Kurtz
3%
Mike Trout
3%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Ben Rice
50%
Hunter Goodman
59%
Byron Buxton
42%
Dillon Dingler
51%
$27,584 Vol.
Kyle Schwarber
$501 Vol.
98%
Yordan Alvarez
$1,265 Vol.
90%
Junior Caminero
$1,533 Vol.
83%
Matt Olson
$1,330 Vol.
80%
Kazuma Okamoto
$0 Vol.
50%
Munetaka Murakami
$543 Vol.
25%
Shohei Ohtani
$1,071 Vol.
23%
Pete Alonso
$76 Vol.
9%
Colson Montgomery
$1,026 Vol.
13%
Brandon Lowe
$1,893 Vol.
9%
Christian Walker
$188 Vol.
8%
Jordan Walker
$587 Vol.
8%
James Wood
$1,525 Vol.
8%
CJ Abrams
$1,270 Vol.
8%
Bryce Harper
$390 Vol.
7%
Miguel Vargas
$120 Vol.
7%
Wilson Contreras
$399 Vol.
6%
$0 Vol.
6%
Ketel Marte
$363 Vol.
6%
$0 Vol.
5%
Manny Machado
$222 Vol.
4%
Aaron Judge
$1,698 Vol.
3%
Juan Soto
$325 Vol.
3%
Nick Kurtz
$263 Vol.
3%
Mike Trout
$301 Vol.
3%
Shea Langeliers
$2,432 Vol.
1%
Ben Rice
$317 Vol.
50%
Hunter Goodman
$2,373 Vol.
59%
Byron Buxton
$2,357 Vol.
42%
Dillon Dingler
$3,214 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several power hitters remain within striking distance of 40 home runs with roughly 40 games left in the 2026 regular season. Kyle Schwarber leads with 37–38, followed closely by Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez at 36 and Junior Caminero at 35. Their strong recent slugging rates, favorable ballpark factors in Philadelphia, Houston, and Atlanta, plus consistent lineup spots have kept them on pace. Remaining schedule strength, potential rest days or injuries, and late-season bullpen matchups could accelerate or stall final totals, while younger contributors like Pete Crow-Armstrong add depth to the chase. Trader consensus reflects these narrow margins and the historical difficulty of crossing 40 in the final stretch.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$27,584End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several power hitters remain within striking distance of 40 home runs with roughly 40 games left in the 2026 regular season. Kyle Schwarber leads with 37–38, followed closely by Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez at 36 and Junior Caminero at 35. Their strong recent slugging rates, favorable ballpark factors in Philadelphia, Houston, and Atlanta, plus consistent lineup spots have kept them on pace. Remaining schedule strength, potential rest days or injuries, and late-season bullpen matchups could accelerate or stall final totals, while younger contributors like Pete Crow-Armstrong add depth to the chase. Trader consensus reflects these narrow margins and the historical difficulty of crossing 40 in the final stretch.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,584End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x65070BE91...Several power hitters remain within striking distance of 40 home runs with roughly 40 games left in the 2026 regular season. Kyle Schwarber leads with 37–38, followed closely by Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez at 36 and Junior Caminero at 35. Their strong recent slugging rates, favorable ballpark factors in Philadelphia, Houston, and Atlanta, plus consistent lineup spots have kept them on pace. Remaining schedule strength, potential rest days or injuries, and late-season bullpen matchups could accelerate or stall final totals, while younger contributors like Pete Crow-Armstrong add depth to the chase. Trader consensus reflects these narrow margins and the historical difficulty of crossing 40 in the final stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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