Mojtaba Khamenei’s succession as Iran’s Supreme Leader following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in a February 28, 2026 US-Israeli airstrike has been marked by his complete absence from verified public events. Reports cite severe facial and leg injuries sustained in the attack, alongside elevated security risks that could expose him to further targeting, leading regime media to rely on written statements, AI imagery, and limited undated video clips rather than live appearances. He missed his father’s July funeral and the August 20 40-day memorial, where siblings attended instead. Iranian officials have signaled forthcoming footage of meetings or public settings, but questions persist over whether health recovery, institutional power shifts involving the IRGC and Basij, or deliberate seclusion will delay any confirmed in-person appearance amid ongoing regional tensions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$6,829,426 Vol.
August 31
2%
September 30
7%
October 31
14%
December 31
27%
$6,829,426 Vol.
August 31
2%
September 30
7%
October 31
14%
December 31
27%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 1:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei’s succession as Iran’s Supreme Leader following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in a February 28, 2026 US-Israeli airstrike has been marked by his complete absence from verified public events. Reports cite severe facial and leg injuries sustained in the attack, alongside elevated security risks that could expose him to further targeting, leading regime media to rely on written statements, AI imagery, and limited undated video clips rather than live appearances. He missed his father’s July funeral and the August 20 40-day memorial, where siblings attended instead. Iranian officials have signaled forthcoming footage of meetings or public settings, but questions persist over whether health recovery, institutional power shifts involving the IRGC and Basij, or deliberate seclusion will delay any confirmed in-person appearance amid ongoing regional tensions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions