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Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

Joe Burrow 13%

Matthew Stafford 12%

Dak Prescott 11%

Jared Goff 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Joe Burrow 13%

Matthew Stafford 12%

Dak Prescott 11%

Jared Goff 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Joe Burrow

$4,106 Vol.

13%

Matthew Stafford

$240 Vol.

12%

Dak Prescott

$280 Vol.

11%

Jared Goff

$50 Vol.

8%

Brock Purdy

$50 Vol.

7%

Patrick Mahomes

$163 Vol.

6%

Drake Maye

$50 Vol.

6%

Justin Herbert

$50 Vol.

5%

Sam Darnold

$50 Vol.

5%

Lamar Jackson

$55 Vol.

4%

Jayden Daniels

$106 Vol.

4%

Jordan Love

$50 Vol.

4%

Josh Allen

$437 Vol.

4%

Trevor Lawrence

$1,324 Vol.

4%

Caleb Williams

$375 Vol.

3%

Bo Nix

$105 Vol.

3%

C.J. Stroud

$83 Vol.

2%

Kyler Murray

$50 Vol.

2%

Jaxson Dart

$50 Vol.

2%

Tyler Shough

$50 Vol.

2%

Jalen Hurts

$113 Vol.

2%

Malik Willis

$60 Vol.

2%

Geno Smith

$60 Vol.

2%

Aaron Rodgers

$10 Vol.

2%

Shedeur Sanders

$60 Vol.

2%

Deshaun Watson

$20 Vol.

2%

Daniel Jones

$10 Vol.

2%

Cam Ward

$60 Vol.

2%

Fernando Mendoza

$60 Vol.

2%

Kirk Cousins

$60 Vol.

2%

JJ McCarthy

$60 Vol.

2%

Bryce Young

$60 Vol.

2%

Michael Penix Jr.

$60 Vol.

2%

Carson Beck

$87 Vol.

2%

Jacoby Brissett

$53 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026-27 passing touchdowns leader market reflects broad parity among high-volume NFL quarterbacks, with Joe Burrow at 13% implied probability as the narrowest favorite ahead of Matthew Stafford and Dak Prescott. Recent 2025 production drives positioning, including Stafford's league-leading 46 touchdowns in an MVP campaign and Burrow's strong finish after injury, both backed by elite weapons and pass-heavy schemes under coaches like Sean McVay and Zac Taylor. Prescott benefits from targets like CeeDee Lamb plus consistent volume, while Jared Goff, Brock Purdy, and Drake Maye project near the top due to offensive line strength, red-zone tendencies, and supporting casts. Health across 17 games, regression from outlier seasons, schedule difficulty, and evolving roles for younger passers like Caleb Williams or Jayden Daniels create tight clustering, as no single signal-caller holds decisive edges in attempts or efficiency entering training camp.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,557
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026-27 passing touchdowns leader market reflects broad parity among high-volume NFL quarterbacks, with Joe Burrow at 13% implied probability as the narrowest favorite ahead of Matthew Stafford and Dak Prescott. Recent 2025 production drives positioning, including Stafford's league-leading 46 touchdowns in an MVP campaign and Burrow's strong finish after injury, both backed by elite weapons and pass-heavy schemes under coaches like Sean McVay and Zac Taylor. Prescott benefits from targets like CeeDee Lamb plus consistent volume, while Jared Goff, Brock Purdy, and Drake Maye project near the top due to offensive line strength, red-zone tendencies, and supporting casts. Health across 17 games, regression from outlier seasons, schedule difficulty, and evolving roles for younger passers like Caleb Williams or Jayden Daniels create tight clustering, as no single signal-caller holds decisive edges in attempts or efficiency entering training camp.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,557
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joe Burrow" at 13%, followed by "Matthew Stafford" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader" is "Joe Burrow" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Matthew Stafford" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.