Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Rousseau 53%

Bernard Sévigny 25%

David Poulin-Latulippe 17.1%

Hugo Fontaine 6.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Guillaume Rousseau 53%

Bernard Sévigny 25%

David Poulin-Latulippe 17.1%

Hugo Fontaine 6.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Guillaume Rousseau

Guillaume Rousseau

$558 Vol.

53%

icon for Bernard Sévigny

Bernard Sévigny

$17 Vol.

26%

icon for David Poulin-Latulippe

David Poulin-Latulippe

$30 Vol.

17%

icon for Hugo Fontaine

Hugo Fontaine

$365 Vol.

7%

icon for Dominic Bouffard

Dominic Bouffard

$167 Vol.

7%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election in Richmond features a competitive multi-candidate contest shaped by provincial polling trends favoring the Parti Québécois and a redistribution that incorporates parts of Sherbrooke. Guillaume Rousseau’s late-June announcement as the CAQ candidate, leveraging his legal background on laïcité and constitutional issues, has positioned the incumbent party to defend the seat held since 2018, though recent riding projections show the PQ edging ahead on vote share. Bernard Sévigny’s May entry for the PQ, drawing on his record as former Sherbrooke mayor, anchors the main challenge alongside PLQ, QS, and PCQ contenders who split remaining support. With the writ dropped in late August and the October 5 vote approaching, trader pricing reflects a narrow contest where local name recognition, turnout among francophone voters, and any late campaign shifts could determine separation among the leading options.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,138
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election in Richmond features a competitive multi-candidate contest shaped by provincial polling trends favoring the Parti Québécois and a redistribution that incorporates parts of Sherbrooke. Guillaume Rousseau’s late-June announcement as the CAQ candidate, leveraging his legal background on laïcité and constitutional issues, has positioned the incumbent party to defend the seat held since 2018, though recent riding projections show the PQ edging ahead on vote share. Bernard Sévigny’s May entry for the PQ, drawing on his record as former Sherbrooke mayor, anchors the main challenge alongside PLQ, QS, and PCQ contenders who split remaining support. With the writ dropped in late August and the October 5 vote approaching, trader pricing reflects a narrow contest where local name recognition, turnout among francophone voters, and any late campaign shifts could determine separation among the leading options.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,138
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Related

icon for Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?

49%
icon for Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?

42%
icon for Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

42%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Guillaume Rousseau" at 53%, followed by "Bernard Sévigny" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Guillaume Rousseau" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernard Sévigny" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.