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icon for Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Alexandre Daneau 42%

Claude Reid 41%

Charles Royer Tremblay 9%

Angélika Homère 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Alexandre Daneau 42%

Claude Reid 41%

Charles Royer Tremblay 9%

Angélika Homère 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Alexandre Daneau

Alexandre Daneau

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Claude Reid

Claude Reid

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Charles Royer Tremblay

Charles Royer Tremblay

$114 Vol.

9%

icon for Angélika Homère

Angélika Homère

$1,899 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Beauharnois riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader sentiment reflects a closely contested race between incumbent Claude Reid (CAQ) at 42.5% and Alexandre Daneau (PQ) at 42.5%, with Charles Royer Tremblay (PLQ) at 7% and Angélika Homère (PCQ) at 3%.** Reid, who has held the seat since 2018 and won convincingly in 2022, benefits from name recognition and the CAQ’s established organization in the Montérégie region. Daneau, a local businessman and actor selected via PQ nomination in June 2026, brings strong community ties through his family business and appeals tied to sovereignty and regional priorities. The near-even odds stem from the absence of recent riding-specific polling, comparable local profiles of the top candidates, and broader provincial dynamics where opposition parties challenge the incumbent government. Liberal and Conservative candidates trail due to weaker recent showings in the riding and limited momentum in available projections. Developments that could shift probabilities include candidate debates, party leader events in the area, riding-level endorsements, or late provincial polling trends affecting turnout and vote efficiency among key blocs. The market’s tight pricing captures this uncertainty with roughly one month until election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,012
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Beauharnois riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader sentiment reflects a closely contested race between incumbent Claude Reid (CAQ) at 42.5% and Alexandre Daneau (PQ) at 42.5%, with Charles Royer Tremblay (PLQ) at 7% and Angélika Homère (PCQ) at 3%.** Reid, who has held the seat since 2018 and won convincingly in 2022, benefits from name recognition and the CAQ’s established organization in the Montérégie region. Daneau, a local businessman and actor selected via PQ nomination in June 2026, brings strong community ties through his family business and appeals tied to sovereignty and regional priorities. The near-even odds stem from the absence of recent riding-specific polling, comparable local profiles of the top candidates, and broader provincial dynamics where opposition parties challenge the incumbent government. Liberal and Conservative candidates trail due to weaker recent showings in the riding and limited momentum in available projections. Developments that could shift probabilities include candidate debates, party leader events in the area, riding-level endorsements, or late provincial polling trends affecting turnout and vote efficiency among key blocs. The market’s tight pricing captures this uncertainty with roughly one month until election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,012
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandre Daneau" at 42%, followed by "Claude Reid" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Alexandre Daneau" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Claude Reid" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.