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icon for Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Gisèle Pouhe Njall 53%

Pierre-Luc Brillant 15%

David Lavoie 6%

Nour Aliyah Attié 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Gisèle Pouhe Njall 53%

Pierre-Luc Brillant 15%

David Lavoie 6%

Nour Aliyah Attié 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Gisèle Pouhe Njall

Gisèle Pouhe Njall

$766 Vol.

53%

icon for Pierre-Luc Brillant

Pierre-Luc Brillant

$229 Vol.

28%

icon for David Lavoie

David Lavoie

$903 Vol.

6%

icon for Nour Aliyah Attié

Nour Aliyah Attié

$286 Vol.

2%

icon for Mildred Mathieu

Mildred Mathieu

$287 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election in Rosemont remains a close contest between Québec solidaire candidate Gisèle Pouhe Njall and Parti Québécois nominee Pierre-Luc Brillant, with trader consensus reflecting their near-even positioning amid a historically progressive Montreal riding. The departure of former QS MNA Vincent Marissal as an independent has opened the seat, allowing both parties to compete directly for overlapping left-leaning and sovereignty-oriented voters on issues such as housing, education infrastructure, and healthcare renewal at Maisonneuve-Rosemont hospital. Projections from models like 338Canada treat the outcome as a toss-up, consistent with the district’s recent electoral volatility and the limited projected support for Liberal, CAQ, and Conservative candidates. Late-campaign developments, including voter turnout among progressive blocs, candidate visibility on local priorities, or shifts in provincial party momentum before the October 5 vote, could widen the gap. Nomination deadlines and ongoing debates provide the primary remaining catalysts.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,472
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election in Rosemont remains a close contest between Québec solidaire candidate Gisèle Pouhe Njall and Parti Québécois nominee Pierre-Luc Brillant, with trader consensus reflecting their near-even positioning amid a historically progressive Montreal riding. The departure of former QS MNA Vincent Marissal as an independent has opened the seat, allowing both parties to compete directly for overlapping left-leaning and sovereignty-oriented voters on issues such as housing, education infrastructure, and healthcare renewal at Maisonneuve-Rosemont hospital. Projections from models like 338Canada treat the outcome as a toss-up, consistent with the district’s recent electoral volatility and the limited projected support for Liberal, CAQ, and Conservative candidates. Late-campaign developments, including voter turnout among progressive blocs, candidate visibility on local priorities, or shifts in provincial party momentum before the October 5 vote, could widen the gap. Nomination deadlines and ongoing debates provide the primary remaining catalysts.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,472
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gisèle Pouhe Njall" at 53%, followed by "Pierre-Luc Brillant" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Gisèle Pouhe Njall" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pierre-Luc Brillant" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.